LiontipsTommy McMillen - Marwan Rahiki: betting tip (cf 2.36) and bets on the fight
Command Analysis
Current form
Tommy McMillen is approaching the fight with a perfect record of 12 wins and no losses. He knocked out his opponents five times, won five more times ahead of schedule by receptions, and won the only victory by decision of the judges in a confrontation with David Mgoyan at the Contender Series. In July, the American had a difficult fight with Alberto Montes and ended it with a technical knockout in the third round.
Before that, McMillen dealt with Manolo Zecchini in the first five minutes, and even earlier, in April 2024, he strangled Joshua Wright with a guillotine and won the Fusion Fight League title. The American has a particularly striking detail in his resume. Before joining the UFC in April 2026, he had ten professional fights, four of which ended within the first minute. McMillen dealt with Arthur Dufloy the fastest — a technical knockout at the 20th second of the first round in October 2023.
McMillen is a fighter who is used to paying with his health for the opportunity to inflict his own damage. In the fight with Montes, he threw a huge number of significant punches — 252. However, he missed it quite seriously. It's just that Montes quickly exhausted his margin of safety and managed to respond with only 56 significant blows.
Current form
Marwan Rahiki will only fight for the third time after his performance at the Contender Series, but he looks like he's been familiar with big fights for a long time. In May, the Moroccan effectively stopped Olli Schmid in the first round. Moreover, he entered the fight as an emergency replacement for Jack Jenkins. Even louder was Rahika's victory over Harry Hardwick in March. The fight ended after a serious injury to the Briton's jaw. Before the UFC, 24-year-old Freaky managed to win the Hex Fight Series and Beatdown Promotions titles.
The statistics also speak for themselves: nine wins, eight of which were achieved by knockouts, and not a single defeat. Rahiki really knows how to hit.And he does it much more technically than McMillen. The American often relies on physical strength and willingness to take blows, while the Moroccan prefers to work more precisely, faster and in combination.
Trends
Bet The duel won't be complete
The two fighters have 19 early victories.
Tip and bets
McMillen may look like an uncomfortable opponent for Rahika. He is strong, aggressive and able to withstand a large amount of damage. But a fight is not a competition to see who can stand up to the blows the longest. The more important thing here is who will force the other to abandon the usual scenario. Rahiki is able to do just that. His speed and work in series should make McMillen think twice before moving forward with his former reckless confidence. If the American continues to take punches for his own knockout chance, sooner or later the Moroccan will find the necessary gap.
Our prediction is that Rahika will win in 2.36
