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On October 31, Bundesliga leaders Bayern and Borussia Dortmund will hold a face-to-face meeting in Munich as part of the eighth round. At the start of the season, the Munich team was stronger in the Super Cup game in Dortmund, winning with a one-goal advantage. Is it worth waiting for a more confident victory today, or will the bumblebees surprise you and score at least one point? We recommend that you read our betting tip and choose your exact bets on the central match of the tour
Command Analysis
Bayern Munich
Current form
Throughout the season, it cannot be said that Bayern looks like a formidable force and is able to regularly smash all its rivals. Most of the problems occurred in away matches. Munich managed to lose points in the Bundesliga with Schalke (0:0) and Augsburg (2:2), and failed to beat Norwegian Viking (3:3) in the Champions League. Arsenal in London showed that Vincent Kompany's team is vulnerable in Munich (2-2). The head coach went to the hospital, he was discharged before the match with Borussia, but now Aaron Danks is in charge of the preparation.
In the Bundesliga, after seven rounds, they are in first place, but there is no gap from Borussia: the opponents have 17 points each. Accordingly, a victory today will allow you to single-handedly top the rating. In the last round, Bayern defeated Freiburg 3-1 away. Munich did not lose a single point in the Bundesliga, won three matches with a total score of 18:2, and among the rivals were contenders for the top 4 Stuttgart (5:1) and Leipzig (6:1).
Last week, Munich defeated Magdeburg (6:1) in the 1/16 finals of the German Cup. We played without Harry Kane, who won the Golden Ball and got a rest. In the Champions League, after three rounds, Bayern is not among the top eight, with five points it occupies an unusual 14th place.
Disqualifications and injuries
Diaz and Ndiaye are in Bavaria's infirmary. Neuer and Musial are in question.
Interesting betting trends
Bayern have scored more than three goals in six home matches since the start of the season.
In five of Bayern's previous seven matches, more than three offsides were recorded.
Bayern haven't beaten Borussia Dortmund by more than one goal in their last six face-to-face meetings.
Approximate line–up: Urbig – Laimer, Upamecano, Ta, Brown – Kimmich, Pavlovich - Olise, Karl, Gnabry – Kane.
Borussia Dortmund
Current form
In the very first match of the new season for the German Super Cup, Borussia lost to Bayern Munich (1:2). After that, Dortmund had an impressive winning streak of six matches, taking into account all the tournaments, but they could not keep such a high pace. The setbacks began with a Bundesliga home game against Werder Bremen, when they failed to maintain a two-goal advantage (2-2). After that, there was also a defeat against Buda-Glimt in the Champions League (0:1) and a goalless draw with Union in the championship.
It is worth paying tribute to Niko Kovacs and his players. The bumblebees interrupted an unsuccessful series of three matches and are approaching the crucial game with Bayern on a three-match winning streak. There were no defeats, but this is the case when it was important to catch your game again. In the last match, Borussia took revenge in the Cup against Werder Bremen (3:2).
Borussia has been playing a very pragmatic game throughout the season, which is uncharacteristic for the team. In seven rounds in the Bundesliga, they managed to score only 12 goals. At the same time, the bumblebees have the best defense: only four missed goals. Reliable defensive play can be the key to success in Munich today. Throughout the season, you could see more than once how Bayern experienced problems against such rivals.
Disqualifications and injuries
Due to injuries, Jan, Constantelias, Lerma and Mayer will not play today. Karetsas' entry into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
Since the beginning of the season, taking into account all the tournaments, Borussia has never conceded more than two goals.
There has been no goal exchange in three of the last five matches involving Borussia
Borussia's players were offside less often than their opponents in three of the previous four matches.
In the upcoming match, direct competitors will meet for the intermediate first place in the Bundesliga standings. Bayern have lost points more than once since the beginning of the season, and problems arise from time to time when they have to open up a dense and well-organized opponent's defense. Borussia is one of them: only four goals conceded in the Bundesliga. After a slight slump, Dortmund have improved, are approaching a trip to Munich on a three-win streak and clearly do not plan to rest on their laurels.
Bayern have an important home field factor on their side, but Arsenal have demonstrated that they can successfully play against Vincent Kompany's team (the head coach has just been discharged from the hospital and did not prepare the team for the upcoming game) in Munich. Taking into account all the tournaments, Borussia has never lost by more than one goal in the previous six face-to-face meetings. It won't be easy to win today, but bumblebees are capable of imposing a tight fight and avoiding a major defeat.
Our betting tip is that Borussia will win with an Asian handicap (+1.5) for a coefficient of 2.06
It is clearly possible to achieve a positive result with Munich only through reliable defensive play. Niko Kovacs' men are unlikely to risk playing open football today. In two of the three previous face-to-face meetings, no more than three goals were scored. We are not expecting a very productive game today either.
The second bet is a total of less than four goals with a coefficient of 1.84
Betting on corners
Bayern relies on total ball control, spends a lot of time at other people's gates. It is not surprising that with this tactic, Munich had more corners than their opponents in the previous seven matches. Based on this trend, we recommend another bet on the match.
Prediction – Bayern win on corners with a handicap (-3.5) with a coefficient of 1.82
Liontips
Jonas Urbig