Milan - Inter Milan: betting tip (cf 2.00) and bets on the Serie A match

Command Analysis

Current form
For eight rounds in Serie A, Milan went undefeated. This is not to say that the segment turned out to be completely flawless, there was an optional loss of points with the same Sassuolo (1:1). Nevertheless, Ruben Amorim has made it clear that he is ready to work and fight with his new team for the highest places.
Milan suffered its first defeat in Serie A in the last round in the middle of the week from Bologna on its own field (2:4). The main reasons for failure are an uncertain defensive game and problems getting out from under pressure. It should be noted that even before that, in two of the last three matches, the Rossoneri conceded more than one goal, only with the crisis Udinese were able to win back to zero, winning 2-0 on the road.
After losing to Bologna, Ruben Amorim's team skipped ahead of Como in the Serie A standings and is in fifth place in the table. Milan is far from playing a leading role in the Europa League. And this is due not only to the level of play, but also to the fact that in the European cup the head coach actively uses the rotation of the squad, betting on the national championship. They scored only three points in three rounds at LE Rossoneri, managed to lose to Benfica (0:2) and Bournemouth (0:3), and occupy a modest 24th place.
Disqualifications and injuries
Salemakers, Gabbia, P. Terraciano, Chukwese, Loftus Cheek and Tomori will not play in the derby today due to injuries.
Interesting betting trends
- In four of Milan's last five matches, more than two goals have been scored.
- More than one goal was scored in the first half in four of Milan's previous five matches.
- Milan's players fouled less often than their opponents in seven of the last nine matches.
Provisional squad: Menyan – Gila, de Winter, Pavlovic, Barthezaghi – Rabiot, Modric – Hutchinson, Pulisic, Cisse – Ramos.

Current form
Inter is unbeaten in Serie A after nine rounds, but there is no gap from Roma. The opponents have 25 points each and share the first place. It was in the face-to-face match that they lost points (2:2). In the last round, we managed to beat Venice on the road with a 2-0 dry score.
Christian Kivu's team relies on fast attacking football. Immediately after losing the ball in the other half of the field, the opponents are actively pressured. With this tactic, defensive lapses occur (we have already conceded ten goals), but everything is compensated by a powerful offensive game: 25 goals scored, the best record in Serie A.
Inter is not playing well in the Champions League. The defeat by Real Madrid on the road with a score of 1:2 did not raise any big questions. At the same time, they lost to Brugge at home (3:4), which became a big sensation. It was only in the third round that the Nerazzurri scored their first victory over Shakhtar (1-0). With three points, Inter is only 21st in the table.
Disqualifications and injuries
The injured list includes L. Martinez, Pavar and Henrique. The Stones and Jones are in question.
Interesting betting trends
- Inter have not lost in Serie A since the beginning of the season.
- In eight of Inter's previous nine matches, more than three goals were recorded.
- In five consecutive matches with Inter, there was a draw in the first half.
Approximate line–up: H. Martinez - Bissek, Akanji, Bastoni – Diouf, Barella, Chalhanoglu, Zelinsky, Dimarco – Esposito, Tyuram.
Tip and bets
Inter has been more successful in recent seasons in terms of results and achievements than Milan. However, in the derby we see a tangible advantage of the Rossoneri: eight matches without defeats. Nevertheless, today it is Nerazzurri who acts as the favorite in the bookmaker line, which is worth agreeing with.
Undoubtedly, Inter's players will be extremely motivated to break an unsuccessful streak in the derby, plus, the fight for first place with Roma is in full swing. However, the main thing, in our opinion, is the opponent's style of play, which is inconvenient for Milan. Christian Kivu's team greets opponents highly and relies on active pressure. Ruben Amorim's players are constantly having problems getting out from under pressure, and the defense is increasingly failing (they have conceded at least two goals in three of the last four matches). We expect Inter to take full advantage of the opponent's problems and achieve an important victory in the derby.
Our betting tip is for Inter to win by a factor of 2.00
Bet on the total
When choosing a total bet, you cannot ignore the trend that is being viewed in the Milan derby. In just one of the last six face-to-face matches, more than two goals were scored. Traditionally, in a principle match, you can see a lot of struggle, emotions, but not so many goals. Accordingly, we recommend another bet on the game.
The second bet is a total of less than three goals with a coefficient of 1.80
Betting on corners
Inter, with their aggressive tactics and constant focus on attack, won on corners in six of the previous seven matches. It is unlikely that Milan will be able to surpass its opponent in corners today.
Prediction – Inter win on corners with a coefficient of 1.85
Betting predictions stat
Explore all statisticsMatch statistical model
How does it work?Trends
Milan'sbetwon't lose on yellow cards
In seven of the last eight matches, Inter have not won on yellow cards.
1st halfbet: draw
In five consecutive matches involving Inter, a draw was recorded in the first half.
The bet is an exact score of 0:2
Inter have scored their last two wins by scoring two goals apiece.
The Total offsiderateis more than 3.5
This bet was played in eight of Inter's nine previous matches
Live trends
| Outcome | Probability | Model odds |
|---|---|---|
| 84,19% | 1.19 | |
| Draw | 11,36% | 8.80 |
| 4,45% | 22.48 |
Probability history
11'–45'| Outcome | Probability | Model odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1X | 95,55% | 1.05 |
| 12 | 88,64% | 1.13 |
| X2 | 15,81% | 6.32 |
| Outcome | Probability | Model odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 79,77% | 1.25 |
| Under | 20,23% | 4.94 |
| Outcome | Probability | Model odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 47,45% | 2.11 |
| Under | 52,55% | 1.90 |
| Outcome | Probability | Model odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 21,62% | 4.63 |
| Under | 78,38% | 1.28 |
| Outcome | Probability | Model odds |
|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 31,88% | 3.14 |
| Inter | 47,9% | 2.09 |
| No goal | 20,23% | 4.94 |
| Outcome | Probability | Model odds |
|---|---|---|
| AC Milan -0.5 | 84,19% | 1.19 |
| Inter +0.5 | 15,81% | 6.32 |
| AC Milan +0.5 | 95,55% | 1.05 |
| Inter -0.5 | 4,45% | 22.48 |
| Outcome | Probability | Model odds |
|---|---|---|
| AC Milan -1.5 | 58,19% | 1.72 |
| Inter +1.5 | 41,81% | 2.39 |
| Outcome | Probability | Model odds |
|---|---|---|
| AC Milan -2.5 | 23,54% | 4.25 |
| Inter +2.5 | 76,46% | 1.31 |
Live commentary
Match report
Pressure during the match
according to SportWireBars above the line show home pressure; bars below show away pressure. Height is relative to the most intense moment of the match.
Match statistics


Shot map
shots: 14Both teams attack upwards. Higher dots show shots taken closer to goal. Dot size represents xG and colour shows the outcome. Filled dots are the home team; hollow dots are the away team.
Lineups and formation


Team lineups


Standings
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Top scorers
Season: 26/27
















