Manon Fioro - Alexa Grasso: betting tip (cf 3.85) and bets on the fight


Command Analysis

Current form
Manon Fioro is ranked second in the UFC women's flyweight division and has already knocked on the door of the champion's office. However, in May 2025, the Frenchwoman failed to take the belt from Valentina Shevchenko. But it would be unfair to call that fight one-sided.: Fioro confidently took the first two rounds, forcing the champion to work to the limit. As a result, Shevchenko's experience was enough to turn the tide of the meeting, but the Frenchwoman once again showed why she is considered one of the strongest athletes in the division.
After this defeat, Fioro quickly returned to a winning rhythm. In October of the same year, she met with Jasmin Yasudavicius and did not leave the fate of the fight to the discretion of the judges. Manon needed only one round to achieve a technical knockout. The defeat by Shevchenko remains Fioro's only unsuccessful result in the UFC. Moreover, before meeting Valentina, the Frenchwoman had not lost since her professional debut in 2018, when her opponent was Leah McCourt.
Fioro has victories over Erin Blanchfield, Rose Namayunas, Kathleen Chukagyan, Jennifer Maya and Myra Bueno Silva. Most of these fights ended with the decision of the judges, but it is also wrong to consider the Frenchwoman exclusively as a fighter who prefers to calmly score points. At the beginning of her UFC career, she won twice by technical knockout in the second round. Leonardo's Victoria was stopped after being kicked in the head and then finished off, while Tabata Ricci also failed to survive the second round.
Before moving to the highest level, Fioro became the champion of the Extreme Fighting Championship and UAE Warriors. The 36-year-old athlete has 13 wins and two losses on her professional account. She ended fights by knockout seven times, and won six more by decision of the judges. The Frenchwoman has black belts in karate and Brazilian jiu-jitsu in her arsenal, which well explains her ability to keep her distance and feel the moment to attack.

Current form
Alexa Grasso is coming to the meeting after one of the most exciting performances of her career. In the last match, the Mexican faced Macy Barber and finished the fight with a knockout in the first round. This was the case when the athlete managed not only to win, but to do it so convincingly that the audience almost immediately began discussing the duel among the best performances of the year. The UFC also appreciated Grasso's work, awarding her a bonus for the Performance of the evening.
But before that, the Mexican was defeated by Natalia Silva. The fight ended with a unanimous decision, and it was Grasso's first fight in a long time, in which her opponent was not Valentina Shevchenko. Since 2022, these two athletes have managed to hold a real mini-series. In the first confrontation in March 2023, Grasso sensationally defeated Shevchenko in the fourth round by back strangulation and won the championship belt. The rematch ended in a draw, and in the third meeting, the Mexican lost by unanimous decision.
Against this background, Grasso's current status looks somewhat unusual. Until recently, she was a champion, and now she's going into battle as a pretty prominent underdog. It looks especially strange after the impressive victory over Barber. But bookmakers, as you know, do not look at emotions, but at specific stylistic combinations. And here Fioro really has serious advantages.
Grasso is a former Invicta Fighting Championships champion, and her collection of professional awards includes many recognitions from the UFC and other organizations and sports publications. The 33-year-old Grasso has 17 wins and five losses. She won five times by knockout, won ten by decision of the judges, and finished the fights twice by submission. The athlete has a brown belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu. She ranks third in the UFC rankings, which means she is directly behind Fioro.
Trends
Bet The duel won't be complete
The two fighters have 14 early victories.
Tip and bets
In front of us are two athletes who are very good at wrestling, but at the same time they are in no hurry to turn their fights into a takedown competition. In the UFC, Fioro averages only 1.01 takedowns per 15 minutes of a fight. Grasso's score is even 0.4. Therefore, it is quite possible to expect a confrontation that will remain in the rack for a long time. For Fioro, this is almost an ideal scenario. The Frenchwoman feels the distance well, moves competently and knows how to punish rivals for trying to break into close combat without preparation. Grasso will have to take more risks. The support of the local public will certainly add energy to the Mexican, but at the same time it can play a cruel joke on her. The desire to arrange a bright fight can make her go forward too often and open up to counterattacks. In this situation, I want to play against a prolonged and cautious scenario. Grasso will probably be looking for the moment to make a decisive attack, and Fioro may get his chance to counterattack at the very moment when the opponent gets too carried away with the offensive.
Our betting tip is a total of less than 2.5 rounds in 3.85



























