LiontipsMedvedev - Berrettini: betting tip (cf 1.91) and bets on the Monte Carlo ATP match
Command Analysis
Medvedev has already won two titles this season, having successfully won back at competitions in Brisbane and Dubai. In total, the 30-year-old Russian has 19 wins and five losses this season. Daniil had previously competed six times in the main draw of the Monte Carlo Masters. His best result here is the 2019 semi–finals.
Berrettini made a successful start on the Monte Carlo clay courts, advancing to the second round on a bounce from Roberto Bautista Agut. The 29-year-old Italian started the match strongly and led 4-0 in the first game, after which the experienced Spanish tennis player decided not to continue the fight. Matteo has four wins and four losses on clay this season.
Trends
Bet Effectiveness of sets: 2>1
This is the scenario that unfolded in 3 of Medvedev's last 5 matches.
2.27The Totalbetis less than 22.5 games
In 3 of Medvedev's last 5 matches, less than 22.5 games were played.
1.82The 1st setbetis a total of less than 9.5 games
In 3 of Medvedev's last 5 matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set.
1.92Tip and bets
The unplayed first-round match against Roberto Bautista-Agut is unlikely to have brought Berrettini any benefit in terms of adapting to the local courts. The Italian didn't really feel the surface, and the quality of his punches left much to be desired. If you look at the previous results, the picture for Matteo is depressing: he consistently loses to opponents with more or less reliable protection. Medvedev is traditionally great at playing defense, which we think will be an insurmountable barrier for Berrettini.
Our betting tip is that Medvedev will win with a handicap of (-3) games by a factor of 1.91
