Athletic vs Girona: forecast for the Spanish Championship match
As part of the 23rd round of the Spanish championship, Athletic hosts Girona on February 8. The hosts are playing unstable, however, as are the guests, which makes the nature of the match unpredictable, given the position of the teams. Will the capitals be able to impose at least some kind of struggle on the opponent? Who will collect the tournament points in the match? The answer is in our forecast

Command Analysis

Athletic Bilbao

Current form
The Lions continue to show impressive stability, maintaining the longest active unbeaten streak in La Liga — 13 matches. This is the best result for the club since 1985. However, their form in 2025 raises questions: after a difficult victory over Logrones on penalties in the Spanish Cup, Ernesto Valverde's team won only twice in seven matches in all competitions.
Despite this, Athletic remains in the top 4 of La Liga and continues to fight for the Champions League, where they have not qualified since the 2014/15 season. The Basques are confident in their abilities, especially at San Mames, where they have lost only once in 29 league matches. They have scored more points on home turf this season than anyone except Real Madrid and Atletico.
Injuries and disqualifications
Athletic are approaching the upcoming match with a number of personnel losses: Inaki Williams (muscle injury), Unai Nugies (muscle injury), Ruiz de Gallareta (hamstring injury) and Malang Djalo (ankle injury).
Interesting betting trends
- Athletic remain undefeated in their last eight La Liga home matches.
- In five of the last six matches of the "lions" in the championship, less than 2.5 goals were scored.
- The Basques have lost just one of their last 23 matches at San Mames, demonstrating incredible stability in front of their fans.
- Guroceta has scored two of Athletic's last four goals in La Liga, both times scoring first in the match.
Provisional squad: Aguirrezabala - De Marcos, Vivian, Pacheco, Yuri – Vesga, Dani Garcia – Sunset, Munyain, Nico Williams – Guroceta

Girona

Current form
Girona continues to pursue their European ambitions, and now that their continental campaign is over, nothing distracts Michel's players from this goal. The Catalans broke a four-game losing streak with an important 2-1 victory over Las Palmas in the last round. However, their away form leaves much to be desired — the team has won only one of the last seven away matches in all competitions.
Moreover, they have already suffered as many away defeats in La Liga as they did last season (five). This is an alarming signal before the visit to San Mames, where Girona have lost three of the last four face-to-face meetings. However, their 2-1 victory in the first round over Athletic gives them a chance to complete a rare double over the Lions in the elite division — such an achievement has happened only once in the club's history.
Disqualifications and injuries
Girona is approaching the match with personnel losses: Paulo Gassaniga (injury).
Interesting betting trends
- In seven of Girona's last nine La Liga matches, more than 2.5 goals have been scored.
- The Catalans have scored at least twice in five of their last six face-to-face meetings with Athletic.
- Girona have conceded in ten of the last 11 away league matches.
- Savio remains a key figure in Girona's attack — he has scored three of the team's last five goals in La Liga, and all three times his goals were the first in the match.
Approximate composition: Juan Carlos – Eric Garcia, David Lopez, Gutierrez – Jan Couto, Aleix Garcia, Ivan Martin, Savio – Porto, Dovbik, Tsubameni
Trends
The bet is an exact score of 1:1
Two of the last five matches of the guests ended in a draw.
7.60Girona'sbetwill score in the second half
In the last two games, the bet went up
1.65Athletic'sbetwon't score in the first half
In three of the last six games, the bet has played
1.65Tip and bets
In the upcoming La Liga match between Athletic and Girona, there is a high probability that both teams will score. Basques are traditionally strong at San Mames and regularly create dangerous moments at the opponents' goal. Athletic have consistently scored at least once in their last five La Liga home games, and their attack, led by Guroceta and Sunset, continues to demonstrate an aggressive style of play. Girona, despite the recent decline, remains one of the brightest attacking teams in the championship. The Catalans have scored at least one goal in 10 of their last 11 La Liga matches, and their attacking trio of Savio, Dovbic and Porto can crack even a solid defense.
Moreover, Girona have consistently scored in the last five face-to-face meetings with Athletic, which underlines their ability to find ways to the Basque goal. At the same time, both teams have vulnerable areas in defense. Athletic are not always stable in defense, and Girona have conceded in 10 of the last 11 away La Liga matches. Taking into account the attacking potential of both teams and their current playing trends, the match promises to be productive.
Our forecast is that both teams will score. We bet on this with a coefficient of 2.30
Betting on the outcome
The match promises to be tough, despite the strong home form of the Basques. Athletic traditionally plays confidently at San Mames, but this season Girona is demonstrating attacking football and is ready to impose a fight. The Catalans, despite their unstable results recently, have a powerful offense capable of creating chances even against organized defensive lines. Given that both teams are fighting for European Cup places, the meeting may take place in an equal struggle, where neither of the rivals wants to concede. In the last face-to-face meetings in Bilbao, Girona put up resistance, and their recent 2-1 victory in the first round proves that the team is able to adapt to the Athletic style. A high-intensity match is expected, but without a clear favorite, so a draw looks very likely.
The forecast is a draw with a coefficient of 4.00
Betting on statistics
Most likely, the match between Athletic and Girona will be held with high intensity, which will lead to a large number of corner kicks. The Basques actively use the flank game, especially through Nico Williams (if he is in the squad) or his replacement, and Girona likes to counterattack and also relies on quick flank advances. In addition, both teams often get corners with overhangs and shots. In the last five La Liga matches with Athletic, at least 9 corners were recorded, and in the games of Girona, this figure also consistently exceeded 8. Given the attacking style of both teams, we can expect a large number of standard positions.
The forecast is that the total number of corners is more than 9.5 with a coefficient of 1.85