LiontipsArsenal vs Chelsea: betting tip (cf 3.80) and bets on the English Premier League match
Command Analysis
Current form
The reigning Premier League winner has confidently started defending the title. In the opening two rounds, the Gunners defeated Coventry at home (3-0) and beat Aston Villa on the road with a minimum score of 1:0. Before that, they also managed to win the Super Cup, beating Manchester City by all accounts in Cardiff. Thus, Mikel Arteta's team scored three consecutive wins without conceding a single goal.
Separately, it is worth paying attention to the fact that Arsenal practically does not allow opponents to create anything at their gates. Manchester City's stellar attack, led by Erling Holland, did not demonstrate anything. Aston Villa did not shoot a single shot on target during the entire match, and had possession of the ball only 39% of the playing time. The Gunners' attack is clearly taking advantage of its chances. Even when not everything worked out with the Burmigemians, Arsenal's players scored only two shots on target, but Saka still managed to distinguish himself and bring victory to his team.
At the end of the transfer window, Arsenal parted ways with those they don't particularly count on. So, Gaby Jesus went to Barcelona, Martinelli will now play in Saudi Arabia, and young Nvaneri was sent on loan to Borussia Dortmund.
Disqualifications and injuries
Timber and Saliba are on the injured list.
Interesting betting trends
- Arsenal have scored three straight wins since the start of the season.
- In 30 of the last 37 matches, Arsenal players have scored more shots on target than their opponents.
- In two of the three previous matches, the Gunners won in the first half.
Approximate line–up: Raya – White, Konsa, Gabriel, Calafiori - Lewis–Skelly, Rice – Saka, Edegor, Tsolis - Haverts.
Current form
Chelsea entered the new season with Xabi Alonso with three wins in a row. However, there were a lot of questions about the quality of the game in the two Premier League matches. In the first round, the Blues beat Fulham 3-2 on the road, after which they confidently dealt with Luton Town 2-0 in the League Cup. In the second round of the Premier League, they managed to defeat Brighton (4:3) on their own field.
Five goals conceded in two Premier League matches is at least a wake–up call. Yes, thanks to a powerful offensive game and a clear implementation of the created moments, we managed to achieve maximum results. But it should be borne in mind that the aristocrats have not played against top rivals yet, today is the first such test of strength. The same Brighton owned the ball 74% of the playing time, scored 15 shots on goal (six of them on target) and scored three goals.
Obviously, the failures in defense are associated with serious changes in the composition in this particular line. Plus, there is no reliable defender, as Enzo Fernandez has moved to Manchester City, and Caicedo is still getting fit after injury.
Disqualifications and injuries
Chelsea has Henderson in the infirmary, and Caicedo and Palestra are questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In three face-to-face meetings in a row, Chelsea lost to Arsenal.
- Chelsea players fouled less often than their opponents in the previous four matches.
- The exchange of goals scored has been recorded in four of the last five matches of the Aristocrats.
Approximate composition: Martinez – Achimpong, Colville, Lacroix – Neto, James, Lavia, Hato – Palmer, Rogers – Joao Pedro.
xG Statistics
Detailed XG statisticsTrends
Chelsea's Yellow Card VictoryBet
Arsenal have not won on yellow cards in 21 of their last 24 matches.
Arsenal's Corner Handicap WinRate(-1.5)
Chelsea made fewer passes from the corner flag than their opponents in the previous five meetings.
The bet is an accurate score of 2:1
Arsenal have scored their last three personal wins with a one-goal advantage.
1st halfbet: draw
In three of the four previous face-to-face matches, a draw was recorded at the end of the opening 45 minutes.
Tip and bets
The opponents in the upcoming game scored six points each in the opening two rounds of the Premier League. However, at the same time, Arsenal is noticeably superior to Chelsea in terms of the quality of the game in terms of organization and team interactions. The Gunners did not allow the opponents to create almost anything at their own goal, did not concede a single goal, controlled the ball. The aristocrats achieved victories over Fulham and Brighton only due to their bright attacking game. There are a lot of questions about the defensive game, five goals conceded in two rounds is an obvious overkill. The support area is sagging after the departure of Enzo Fernandez and without Caicedo, who is still recovering from injury. Plus, there is a lack of teamwork among the defenders, as this line is undergoing major changes.
Arsenal have beaten Chelsea in the previous three derbies. At the moment, there are no prerequisites for the series to be interrupted. It is difficult to beat the Gunners only due to a bright attack, Mikel Arteta's wards clearly block all approaches to their penalty area.
Our betting tip is that Arsenal will win by a factor of 1.72
Bet on the total
Chelsea is unlikely to be able to beat Arsenal, given the constant failures in defense, but the aristocrats are quite capable of scoring their own goal due to the individual skill of the leaders. At the same time, the Gunners had hit the blue goal in ten previous face-to-face meetings, and their goal would not cause any surprise today.
The second bet is that both will score with a coefficient of 1.67
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
The upcoming match is of fundamental importance for the rivals, it is worth waiting for a tight fight, which can be seen regularly in the derby. In the last three face-to-face meetings, Arsenal have achieved victories with a minimal advantage in the score, which we are waiting for this time.
Prediction – Arsenal win with a one-goal advantage with a coefficient of 3.80
