Manchester United vs Manchester City: betting tip (cf 3.00) and bets on the English Premier League match

Premier League. old-trafford
Manchester UnitedEngland
10.09.26
Manchester United4 : 0Sabah FK
06.09.26
Everton2 : 2Manchester United
30.08.26
Manchester United5 : 2Ipswich Town
22.08.26
Hull City2 : 0Manchester United
15.08.26
Manchester United2 : 4AC Milan
12.08.26
Manchester United6 : 5Leeds United
Manchester CityEngland
08.09.26
FC Porto0 : 2Manchester City
05.09.26
Manchester City1 : 0Coventry City
28.08.26
Crystal Palace1 : 4Manchester City
23.08.26
Manchester City2 : 1AFC Bournemouth
16.08.26
Arsenal3 : 0Manchester City
09.08.26
Manchester City3 : 1Atletico Madrid
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Manchester United - Manchester City
The Manchester Derby will be the main event of the fourth round in the English Premier League. The Red Devils had not lost to the townspeople in their previous two face-to-face matches, including last season, under the leadership of Michael Carrick, they won 2-0 at Old Trafford. What can we expect from a principled battle today and what bets should we pay close attention to? - the answer is further in our betting tip

Command Analysis

Manchester United

Current form

All the successes of Manchester United in the new season are connected with performances at Old Trafford. On their own field, the Red Devils scored two crushing victories over Ipswich (5:2) in the Premier League and over Sabah (4:0) in the Champions League. Michael Carrick's team has not won away yet, although the opponents were not the most difficult: Hull (0:2) and Everton (2:2).

In general, there is no reason to talk about a recession or serious problems in the game of Manchester United. It was the first official match of the season against Hull, it was not possible to open the saturated defense, plus the goalkeeper of the opponent showed himself well. Everton pulled out a draw only at the very end. The only thing that is alarming is the defensive performance (six goals conceded), but at the same time, in the last match in the Champions League, we managed to score for the first time this season.

Manchester United's attack is on top. Apart from the unsuccessful match against Hull, in the rest of the meetings, the opponents' goals were hit more than once without problems. As the match against Sabah showed, you can expect threats from any player from the offensive line: all four goals in that meeting were scored by different players. Of course, there is a much more serious test of strength ahead, but it is worth noting that in the last two derbies on their own field, the red devils were not inferior to the citizens.

Disqualifications and injuries

Ugarte, de Ligt, Baleba, Diallo, Heaton are injured and will not play today.

Interesting betting trends

  • At least four goals have been scored in the last three matches against Manchester United.
  • Manchester United players were offside less often than their opponents in five of the previous six matches.
  • The exchange of goals scored was recorded in three of the last five matches of the Red Devils.

Approximate line–up: Lammens - Dalot, Maguire, Martinez, Shaw – Thielemans, Mainu – Mbeumo, B. Fernandes, Rashford – Cunha.

Manchester City

Current form

Enzo Mareschi's debut at the helm of the Manchester City head coach was unsuccessful. In the match for the English Super Cup, his team lost outright to Arsenal with a score of 0:3. However, this failure has remained the only one so far – in the next four meetings there were only victories.

In the Premier League, the townspeople got a difficult calendar at the start and scored three wins over Bournemouth (2:1), Crystal Palace (1:4) and Coventry (1:0). At the same time, it was difficult to beat Bournemouth and Coventry. With the Cherries, the winning goal was scored only in the 91st minute.

The start in the Champions League came out more than confident in the performance of Manchester City. On the road, the townspeople defeated Porto with a score of 2:0, they did not allow the opponent to land a single shot on goal. Holand scored both goals. The team is still very dependent on the Norwegian, who has scored five goals in five games played. If the opponents manage to close it down (as was the case with Arsenal), then there is practically no one to take on the role of leader in attack.

Disqualifications and injuries

Doku is in the infirmary, and O'Reilly's exit to the field is questionable.

Interesting betting trends

  • In three of the last five matches, Manchester City have not won in the first half.
  • In 14 of the 17 previous matches, Manchester City players have scored more shots on goal than their opponents.
  • In the previous six face-to-face meetings, the townspeople won only one victory.

Approximate composition: Donnarumma – Nunez, Dias, Gehi, Guardiola – Anderson, Fernandez – Semenyo, Sherki, Ndiaye – Holland.

xG Expected goals
Manchester United
0.65xG per Match1.81
Manchester City

Trends

"Manchester City" Victoryrateon shots on target

1.80

This bet has been successful in 14 of the last 17 matches involving "Manchester City"

Bet Goals in both halves – no

1.98

In three of the previous five face-to-face meetings, goals were not scored in each of the halves.

The bet is an accurate score of 2:1

11.00

"Manchester United" has scored two of the last three personal wins with this score.

1st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals

1.65

This bet was played in the previous five derbies.

Tip and bets

TipManchester United will not lose
1.72

In the Mancunian derby, there is an unequivocal favorite in the line of Manchester City bookmakers, even though the match will be held at someone else's stadium. This is largely due to the fact that the townspeople have a better start, going on a winning streak of four matches.

At the same time, Manchester United played two matches confidently at Old Trafford, the attack was on top – nine goals scored against Ipswich and Sabah. It is through the attack that the red devils can achieve a positive result today. The townspeople have a decent dependence on Holland, while the hosts can expect threats from any striker, which they have seen more than once during the season.

Manchester United knows very well how to play against the upcoming principal opponent, as they have not lost in five of the previous six derbies at the end of regular time. In particular, last season at Old Trafford, under the leadership of Carrick, a 2-0 victory was recorded. We believe that the red devils will score at least one point today.

Our betting tip is that Manchester United will not lose by a factor of 1.72

Will the prediction win?
Tiptotal less than 3.5 goals
1.63

Bet on the total

When choosing a total bet, we rely on the statistics of personal meetings, since the derby is its own separate story. In the previous six head-to-head matches, no more than three goals were scored. We are also looking forward to a tight game today, a lot of fighting in the center of the field and a maximum of three goals between the two.

The second bet is a total of less than 3.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.63

Betting on corners

Regarding the corners, we note a promising trend among the townspeople: in 9 of the last 12 matches with their participation, more than 11 innings were played from the corner flag. The odds that this trend will work today are more than decent in the line of bookmakers.

The betting tip is a total of more than 11.5 corners with a coefficient of 3.00

Will the prediction win?

Tips from experts

Прогноз от Эксперта
konstantin-ulanovКонстантин Уланов
28 Feb | 07:00
Ливерпуль:
Вест Хэм
1.65
Прогноз от Эксперта
ivan-kornijchukИван Корнийчук
31 Mar | 12:00
Сельта:
Лас-Пальмас
1.94

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Betting predictions stat

Explore all statistics
Total tips139
% of profit8.41%
Win percentage50.36%
Average coefficient1.87
Wins50.36%  (70)
Refunds7.91%  (11)
Loses41.73%  (58)
Total tips546
% of profit15.45%
Win percentage49.08%
Average coefficient1.89
Wins49.08%  (268)
Refunds6.41%  (35)
Loses44.51%  (243)