LiontipsLazio - Milan: betting tip (cf 2.26) and bets on the Serie A match
Command Analysis
Current form
Lazio entered the new season under the leadership of Gennaro Gattuso with a sensational relegation to the 1/32 finals of the Italian Cup from Mantova (0:2). There was immediate talk in the press about the coach's possible imminent retirement, but with their strong start in Serie A, the Romans made it clear that it was too early to draw serious conclusions from one unsuccessful match.
In the opening three rounds of the Serie A, the Eagles scored nine points and are in the group of leaders with the same number of points, along with Roma and Inter. However, it is worth correcting that there have been no top competitors yet. Lazio defeated Bologna and Genoa with the same score 1-0, and beat Udinese on the road in the third round (1:2). We managed to play reliably in defense in these matches, which was the key to success.
With Udinese, Gattuso's men fought back in the second half, losing 0:1. In that meeting, Lazio performed well in attack (19 shots on goal, six of them on target), had a significant advantage in possession of the ball (60%). Gudmundsson, who came on as a substitute, scored the winning goal.
Disqualifications and injuries
Cataldi, Dele-Bashir, Marusic and Rovella will miss the game due to injuries.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of the last four matches involving Lazio, there has been no goal exchange.
- In four of the five previous matches of the Romans, a draw was recorded at the end of the first half.
- Lazio players have fouled more often than their opponents in six of the last eight matches.
Approximate line–up: Mandas – Floriani, Duhi, Provstgor, Tavares – Taylor, Belakhyan, Frattesi - Isaksen, Pinamonti, Zaccagni.
Current form
Milan entered the new season under the leadership of Ruben Amorim, who failed to fully prove himself at Manchester United. The Portuguese specialist's debut can be considered a success. Following the results of three rounds, the Rossoneri scored seven points and are approaching the upcoming away game in fifth place in the table.
Ruben Amorim's team did not allow themselves to misfire with Torino (2:1) and Venice (2:0), who were inferior in class. In the third round, Milan had a difficult test of strength – a 1-1 defeat to Juventus in Turin. All the main events in that meeting unfolded after the break. Cisse's young talent opened the scoring in the 68th minute and Milan held the advantage in the 92nd minute, but still missed. Regarding the match, it is worth noting that Amorim relied on destruction, in order to slow down the pace in the development of the opponent's attacks. Overall, the tactic worked. However, it is worth noting that in the entire game, the Rossoneri scored only one shot on target, which was a goal.
Milan has an exit to Rome for Lazio ahead. The match is of fundamental importance, as the two previous personal meetings on this field remained with the Eagles last season: in the Cup and in the Serie A there were defeats with a minimum score of 0:1.
Disqualifications and injuries
Gabbia's entry into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In four consecutive matches involving Milan, a draw was recorded in the first half.
- Milan's players committed fewer fouls than their opponents in three of the previous four matches.
- In 9 of Milan's last 14 matches, there have been no more than seven shots on target.
Approximate line–up: Menyan – Gila, de Winter, Pavlovic – Chukwese, Modric, Musa, Estupignan – Rabiot, Cisse - Ramos.
Trends
"Milan"betwill not lose on yellow cards
"This bet has been successful in six of Milan's last seven matches."
Bet Goals in both halves – no
In the previous three head-to-head matches, goals were not scored in each of the halves.
The bet is an exact score of 0:1
This account was recorded in the last three face-to-face meetings.
1st halfbet: draw
"Milan" was at odds with their rivals in the first half in the previous four matches.
Tip and bets
In the away match against Juventus, you could see Amorim's destructive football, in which the desire to prevent the opponent from creating anything in attack comes to the fore. The tactics worked well, Milan was close to victory, the old lady equalized the score only in stoppage time. Obviously, the Rossoneri will rely on similar tactics in Rome today. And it is far from certain that Lazio will find approaches to such a game.
The Romans had a three-game winning streak, but they had no rival of Milan's level in their path. At the same time, there were noticeable difficulties in opening up the saturated defenses of both Bologna and Genoa, and we also remember about the sensational defeat in the Italian Cup by Mantova, when it did not work out. With Udinese, they put the squeeze on the opponent only in the end, the advantage in functional training affected. This advantage will not be the case with Milan, as Amorim's players are well prepared physically and have repeatedly put the squeeze on their opponents. We believe that Milan will have a better chance of winning today.
Our betting tip is that Milan will win by a factor of 2.26
Bet on the total
There is a high probability that one goal will decide the fate of the game in the upcoming match. In the three previous face-to-face meetings, there was no exchange of goals scored, the exact score was recorded.:0. Under Amorim's leadership, Milan demonstrates pragmatic football, focused strictly on results. At the same time, Lazio is having difficulty opening up the opponents' saturated defenses. We are not waiting for an exchange of goals scored in Rome today.
The second bet is that at least one will not score with a coefficient of 1.82
Betting on corners
Taking into account the tactical schemes, it is worth expecting a lot of fighting in the center of the field in the match. It is unlikely that such indoor football will lead to a large number of serves from the corner flag. Moreover, in 26 of Lazio's last 38 matches, no more than nine corners were served.
The betting tip is a total of less than 9.5 corners with a coefficient of 1.55
