LiontipsBorussia Dortmund - Paderborn: betting tip (cf 2.23) and bets on the Bundesliga match
Command Analysis
Current form
After losing to Bayern Munich in the Super Cup match (1:2), Borussia issued a series of four victories, taking into account all tournaments. In the Bundesliga, the bumblebees defeated Hamburg (2:0) on their own field and snatched a difficult victory from Hoffenheim with a score of 3:2. Last week, Niko Kovac's team successfully started the Champions League with a home victory over Villarreal (3:2). The problems in defense are alarming, as Niko Kovac's players have conceded two goals each in the last two matches. Plus, Borussia continues to lose players. First, Constatelias was out until the end of the season, and Karetsas was injured in the match against Villarreal.
Disqualifications and injuries
Gian, Mane, Constatelias, Lerma and Karetsas are injured, Inacio will serve a suspension.
Interesting betting trends
- In three consecutive matches with the participation of Borussia, there was a bet on a total of more than 3.5 goals.
- In 9 of the last 12 matches, Borussia lost to their rivals on the sidelines.
Approximate composition: Male – Gadu, Anton, Svensson – Ruerson, Bellingham, Nmecha, Bayer – Silva, Girassi, Nvaneri.
Current form
Bundesliga newcomer Paderborn, quite expectedly, did not surprise anyone at the start of the season. In the first round, a goalless draw was recorded with Mainz on the road, and then they lost at home to Freiburg (0:1). We didn't manage to score a single goal, with Freiburg we scored only three shots on target for the whole match, although we missed in the first half and had to fight back. Before that, with Mainz, they had never shot on target at all. However, betting on defensive football is still working well, the opponents have not created many dangerous moments. It is unlikely that Ralf Kettemann and his players will risk playing open soccer with a noticeably superior opponent in Dortmund.
Disqualifications and injuries
Avortvi-Grant, Eikel, Gayret, Michel will miss the game due to injuries.
Interesting betting trends
- In the previous four matches, Paderborn players fouled more often than their opponents.
- More than one goal has not been scored in the first half in four of Paderborn's last five matches.
Approximate line–up: Noll– ter Horst, Scheller, Hansen – Kurda, Ulrich, Castaneda, Vidovich, Obermayr - Philippe, Piringer.
Trends
1st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals
The bet was successful in four of Paderborn's last five matches
The Borussiabetwill not lose on yellow cards
In 17 of the previous 20 matches, Borussia has not lost on yellow cards.
The bet is an accurate score of 3:2
The Bumblebees have scored their last two victories with this score
Tip and bets
Borussia plays at home, is on a winning streak of four matches, taking into account all tournaments, has a significant advantage in the class and is rightfully the favorite in the bookmaker line. However, we still do not expect a crushing victory performed by Niko Kovacs' wards. The calendar is very tight, there were noticeable defensive problems in the previous two matches, we each conceded two goals from Hoffenheim and Villarreal. Plus, there are significant losses in the squad, with six players out of the game at once, which significantly reduces the opportunities for rotation.
Paderborn scored only one point in two rounds, while conceding only one goal. The guests play in an organized manner in defense, they don't allow their opponents much in their penalty area. We believe that with an advantage of more than one goal, Borussia will not be able to win today.
Our betting tip is for Paderborn to win with an Asian handicap (+1.5) for a coefficient of 2.23
Bet on the total
Borussia have conceded two goals each from Hoffenheim and Villarreal. Given the problems with the squad and the busy schedule of matches, there will clearly be changes today, it is far from certain that the defense will perform at its best. At the same time, due to the tangible advantage in the class, bumblebees can count on their goals. We expect both opponents to score in the match.
The second bet is that both will score with a coefficient of 1.70
Betting on corners
Niko Kovac's team plays with an obvious emphasis on attack in their home matches and goes forward with great strength. Villarreal won the day before on corners with a score of 9-7. There is a high probability that with Paderborn, the advantage in corners will be even more substantial.
Betting Tip – Borussia victory on corners with a handicap (-3.5) with a coefficient of 1.80
