LiontipsCarlos Alcaraz - Tommy Paul: betting tip (cf 1.95) and bets on the Australian Open match
Command Analysis
Alcaraz easily dealt with Corentin Moute in the third round of the Australian Open. The 22-year-old Spaniard, who is the first racket of the world, did not give the Frenchman a chance, giving him only seven games for the entire match (6-2, 6-4, 6-1). Earlier, Carlos was stronger than Yannick Hanfmann in the second round, and beat Adam Walton in three games in the first round. Let's remind that the last two seasons Alcaraz in Melbourne reached only the quarterfinals7
Paul reached the fourth round of the Australian Open on the refusal of Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. The Spaniard withdrew from the game after losing the opening two games with a score of 1-6. Before that, Tommy had no problems in a duel with Thiago Tirante, and in the first round he also beat compatriot Alexander Kovacevich in three sets. Recall that Paul's best result in Melbourne is the 2023 semi–finals.
Trends
Bet Effectiveness of sets: 2>1
This was the scenario that unfolded in 3 of Alcaraz's last 5 matches.
2.28The Totalbetis less than 34.5 games
In 4 of Alcaraz's last 5 matches, less than 34.5 games were played.
1.82The 1st setbetis a total of more than 9.5 games
In 3 of Alcaraz's last 5 matches, more than 9.5 games were played in the first set.
1.88Tip and bets
Last season, Alcaraz defeated Paul on the courts of Roland Garros. In the quarterfinals of the Paris Major, Carlos gave the American only five games per game. On the hard court, it will probably be more difficult for the Spaniard to beat Tommy so confidently, but we think that the final victory will not go away from him.
Our prediction is that Alcaraz will win with a handicap of (-7) games for a coefficient of 1.95
