In Milan at the San Siro on November 12, the Italian national team will play against France. The rivals are in the lead in the table, they could not identify the strongest in the face-to-face meeting of the first round. We understand the betting tip, who has the best chance of winning today and which bets are worth paying attention to
Command Analysis
Italy
Current form
Italy is competing in the League of Nations under the leadership of Roberto Mancini, and so far the interim results can clearly be counted as an asset. In four rounds, Squadra Azzurra scored seven points and is in second place in the group. France is three points behind, while Belgium is only one point ahead. The only defeat was at the start, just from the Belgians on their own field with a score of 0:2. The Italians drew 1-1 with the French on the road, although then the opponent had a significant advantage. It should be noted that the Italian national team scored six out of seven points in two matches with the outsider Turkey.
Disqualifications and injuries
The injured list includes Locatelli, Spinazzola, Buongiorno, D. Mancini, Di Lorenzo, Zaccagni, Raspadori, Ruggeri.
Interesting betting trends
Italy's players have fouled more often than their opponents in six of the last seven matches.
In three consecutive matches involving Italy, an exchange of goals was recorded.
France leads the quartet after four rounds, predictably, with 10 points. A victory today will allow you to get a ticket to the playoffs ahead of schedule. The French allowed themselves the only loss of points in the home game with the Italians (1-1). Back then, Zinedine Zidane's team had possession of the ball for 65% of the playing time, scored eight shots on goal, but could not win. Under Zidane's leadership, the national team demonstrates pragmatic football, with results at the forefront. The tricolor team won two of the three victories with a one–goal advantage, only in the last round the attack showed itself in all its glory - a crushing 4-1 victory over Belgium. It should be noted that Mbappe did not train in the general group on Wednesday due to discomfort in the back of his thigh. Most likely, the leader will not appear on the field.
Disqualifications and injuries
Kunde, Saliba, Kalulu, Lacroix, Akliush, Ekitike, K. Tyuram, M. Tyuram, Lepol, Dembele, Tchuameni will not play due to injuries. Mbappe's entry into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
In four of the last six matches of the French national team, more than three offsides were recorded.
In three of France's four previous matches, a 0-0 draw was recorded in the first half.
France may not have Mbappe playing today, but it's not worth overestimating this moment too much, the depth of the squad is more than solid. Plus, Italy has its own losses in the squad, replacing the main central defender Gianluca Mancini is not so easy. The face-to-face meeting of the first round ended in a 1-1 draw, although then Zinedine Zidane's team had a huge territorial advantage, scored eight shots on goal and could well have taken three points. The Italians, led by Roberto Mancini, have so far defeated only the outsider of the group, Turkey, it is clearly too early to say that the national team is ready for serious competition.
Our betting tip is that France will win by a factor of 1.96
Under Zidane, the French national team demonstrates a pragmatic game, where the bet is clearly on the result, in fact, there was a breakthrough in attack only in the last round with the Belgians. Italians are unlikely to risk playing open soccer even on their own field. In the face-to-face meeting of the first round, only two goals were scored, we are not expecting a very productive game today.
The second bet is a total of less than three goals with a coefficient of 1.74
Betting on corners
The Italian national team is very weak in the corners, lost in this indicator in the last five matches. In the face-to-face match of the first round, the French won by corners with a score of 6:4. We expect that today the tricolours will make more serves from the corner flag than the opponent.
Prediction – France wins on corners with a coefficient of 1.52
Liontips
Gianluigi Donnarumma