On November 13, the Netherlands national team will play Greece in one of the matches of the fifth round of the League of Nations. After four rounds, the opponents have eight points each and lead the standings in the group. The face-to-face match of the first round ended in a 2-2 draw. What to expect today in Amsterdam and what bets to pay attention to? - more on this later in our betting tip
Command Analysis
Netherlands
Current form
The Dutch national team leads the group standings after four rounds, but is only ahead of Greece in additional indicators. The Orange team did not suffer a single defeat, losing points in matches against Germany (1:1) and Greece (2:2). At the same time, two victories over Serbia were not without problems, with the same score of 2:1. There are problems in defense: in none of the four matches it was not possible to win back to zero. In the last round, in the game against Serbia, the Dutch scored the winning goal only in the second half, despite the fact that they had a significant advantage, scored 22 shots on goal (seven of them on target), and owned the ball 64% of the playing time.
Disqualifications and injuries
Van Dijk and Brobby are injured and will not play today. Out of the application are Ake, Hato, Frimpong, Gravenberh.
Interesting betting trends
In each of the four matches in the Nations League, the Netherlands national team conceded
In four of the previous five matches, the Netherlands national team players fouled more often than their opponents.
Approximate line–up: Verbruggen – Timber, van Hecke, van de Ven, Matsen - de Jong, Veerman, Reynders – Summerville, Malen, Gakpo.
Greece
Current form
Greece looks more than confident in the group with Germany and the Netherlands. The Greeks went through four rounds without a single defeat and share the first place with Orange with eight points, three points ahead of the Germans. The national team made the biggest sensation in the second round, when they defeated Germany 1-0 on the road. Moreover, they managed to disperse peacefully at home with an opponent superior in class (0:0). Greece drew 2-2 with the Netherlands on their own field, and after the first half they led 2-0, and the orange equalized the score only at the very end.
Disqualifications and injuries
Zafeiris and Saliakas will not play due to too many yellow cards. Constantelias and Pelkas are injured.
Interesting betting trends
In five of the previous six matches, the Greek national team players fouled less often than their opponents.
In four of the last five matches against Greece, no more than one goal was scored in the first half.
There are four rounds left, and Greece has not yet lost a single game. It is unlikely that such results can be called an accident. The national team played Germany twice, at home they parted ways with the Netherlands, and the opponent saved the draw only at the very end. The Orange team has not played reliably defensively throughout the tournament, and they have never been able to win back. The guests are clearly able to take advantage of their chances today. Based on the game and the results of the opponents throughout the tournament, we do not think that the Dutch national team deserves the status of such an obvious favorite, which is assigned to it in the line of bookmakers.
Our betting tip is that the Greek national team will win with an Asian handicap (+1) for a coefficient of 1.98
In the face-to-face meeting of the first round in Greece, the rivals scored two goals each and parted in peace with a score of 2:2. The Orange had conceded in all matches since the beginning of the tournament. The Greeks are distinguished by their clear implementation and are capable of scoring their own goal, but it is unlikely that they will be able to stand up in Amsterdam and win back to zero.
The second bet is that both will score with a coefficient of 1.71
Betting on corners
On their own field, the Dutch will clearly play number one and are highly likely to win on corners. Moreover, the Netherlands national team has a good trend in corners – four wins in a row.
Prediction – the victory of the Netherlands national team on corners with a handicap (-2.5) with a coefficient of 1.80
Liontips
Bart Verbruggen