LiontipsCarlos Alcaraz - Sebastian Baez: prediction and bets on the Tokyo ATP match
Command Analysis
Alcaraz's 13-match winning streak was recently interrupted at the Laver Cup, where Carlos lost to Taylor Fritz in the opening match. At the same time, after the match with the American, he confidently dealt with Francisco Cherundolo, giving the Argentine only three games per game. Let's remind that Alcaraz has victories in Rotterdam, Monte Carlo, Rome, Queens and Cincinnati, as well as at Roland Garros and the USA Open this season.
Baez has only two wins in his last seven fights. He left the recent US Open after the first round, losing in three games to Lloyd Harris. At the same time, Sebastian can boast of one trophy he has won this season - he won on his home turf in Rio de Janeiro. For Baez, it was the seventh ATP trophy of his career.
Trends
Alcaraz's ITrateis less than 12.5
Alcaraz has won less than 12.5 games in 6 of the last 7 matches
1.42IT Baes'bidis more than 6.5
Baez has won more than 6.5 games in 35 of the last 36 meetings
2.34Tip and bets
Alcaraz recently upset Francisco Cherundolo in two sets at the Laver Cup, giving the Argentine only three games per game. A similar scenario, it seems to us, awaits another representative of Argentina - Baez is clearly not in the best shape right now.
Our prediction is that Alcaraz will win with a handicap of (-7) games for a coefficient of 2.01
