Matteo Arnaldi - Novak Djokovic: prediction and bets for the match ATP Geneva

Matteo Arnaldi

Italy

Geneva Open

22 May 09:00

Finished0 : 2

Novak Djokovic

Serbia

41-й сет6

42-й сет6

Stas Panarin

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Arnaldi and Djokovic will meet in the quarterfinals of the tournament in Geneva on May 22. Djokovic defeated Fucovic at the start of the competition in Geneva, but the Serb's playing problems have not gone away. Arnaldi improved significantly during the tournament, especially in the match against Marojan, where he showed a confident game both in attack and defense. The Italian is progressing from match to match. Does Matteo have a chance to win over Novak for the second time in a row? - the bets for this match are in our betting tip

Command Analysis

Matteo Arnaldi

Current form

Arnaldi defeated Fabian Marojan 6-3, 7-6 in the second round of the tournament in Geneva. Matteo made five aces, converted one break point and did not lose a single game on his serve. In the first round, the Italian passed Hugo Gaston.

Professional qualities

Arnaldi prefers a ground where his game looks more holistic. On fast courts, Matteo lacks both speed and powerful punches. The Italian has a good serve in his arsenal, but that's it. Arnaldi's game is mainly based on good footwork and confident playing on the back line in long draws.

Current indicators in the tour

Arnaldi is in the top 50 of the world ranking and is currently ranked 39th. The 24-year-old Italian has won six trophies in his career, the last of which he won in 2023 at the clay competitions held in Heilbronn.

Interesting facts for betting

Arnaldi has won 6 of the last 8 matches.

Novak Djokovic

Current form

Djokovic started the competition in Geneva with a 6-2, 6-3 victory over Marton Fucovic. Novak scored four aces against the Hungarian, made three break points and did not lose a single game on his serve. It was the first victory for the Serb on clay this season, with two losses.

Professional qualities

Djokovic came close to winning the Miami Masters this season, but lost the final to Menshik. After that tournament, there was a certain decline in Novak's game, which has not gone anywhere yet. He seemed to beat Fucovic in two sets at the start in Geneva, but there are still problems in his game. And the main one is the lack of mobility.

Current indicators in the tour

During his career, Djokovic has won 99 ATP titles. Last season, the 38-year-old Serbian tennis player scored a victory at the Paris Olympics. Novak is currently in sixth place in the world ranking.

Interesting facts for betting

Last season, Djokovic managed to reach the semifinals on the courts of Geneva.

Tip and bets

TipArnaldi with a head start (+4)

1.81

Djokovic is absolutely determined to get revenge on Arnaldi for the recent defeats in Madrid. However, the Serb's current playing conditions are not perfect, so it is unlikely that the upcoming match will be easy for him. Most likely, this meeting will take place in a fight, so Matteo will be able to at least get a positive head start.

Our prediction is that Arnaldi will win with a handicap of (+4) games for a coefficient of 1.81

Will the prediction win?

TipThe total is more than 22

1.86

Bet on the total

Just recently, the tennis players had a face-to-face match as part of the competition in Madrid. That match ended with Arnaldi winning in two sets. We expect a fight in the upcoming match - after all, Djokovic is probably aiming for a rematch. The second betting tip is a total of more than 22 games for a coefficient of 1.86

Bet on the first set

In four of Djokovic's last five matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set. Most likely, the upcoming meeting against Arnaldi will also start with the grassroots first game.

The betting tip is a total of less than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 1.80

Will the prediction win?