LiontipsMatteo Arnaldi - Novak Djokovic: prediction and bets for the match ATP Geneva
Command Analysis
Current form
Arnaldi defeated Fabian Marojan 6-3, 7-6 in the second round of the tournament in Geneva. Matteo made five aces, converted one break point and did not lose a single game on his serve. In the first round, the Italian passed Hugo Gaston.
Professional qualities
Arnaldi prefers a ground where his game looks more holistic. On fast courts, Matteo lacks both speed and powerful punches. The Italian has a good serve in his arsenal, but that's it. Arnaldi's game is mainly based on good footwork and confident playing on the back line in long draws.
Current indicators in the tour
Arnaldi is in the top 50 of the world ranking and is currently ranked 39th. The 24-year-old Italian has won six trophies in his career, the last of which he won in 2023 at the clay competitions held in Heilbronn.
Interesting facts for betting
Arnaldi has won 6 of the last 8 matches.
Current form
Djokovic started the competition in Geneva with a 6-2, 6-3 victory over Marton Fucovic. Novak scored four aces against the Hungarian, made three break points and did not lose a single game on his serve. It was the first victory for the Serb on clay this season, with two losses.
Professional qualities
Djokovic came close to winning the Miami Masters this season, but lost the final to Menshik. After that tournament, there was a certain decline in Novak's game, which has not gone anywhere yet. He seemed to beat Fucovic in two sets at the start in Geneva, but there are still problems in his game. And the main one is the lack of mobility.
Current indicators in the tour
During his career, Djokovic has won 99 ATP titles. Last season, the 38-year-old Serbian tennis player scored a victory at the Paris Olympics. Novak is currently in sixth place in the world ranking.
Interesting facts for betting
Last season, Djokovic managed to reach the semifinals on the courts of Geneva.
Trends
The bet of the 2nd set is Djokovic's victory
Djokovic won the 2nd set in 4 consecutive matches in Geneva
1.36Arnaldi's handicapbet(+5.5)
Arnaldi has won with a handicap (+5.5) of games in 11 of the last 12 matches
1.39The Totalbetis less than 2.5 sets
6 of Arnaldi's last 7 matches have been played in two sets.
1.53Tip and bets
Djokovic is absolutely determined to get revenge on Arnaldi for the recent defeats in Madrid. However, the Serb's current playing conditions are not perfect, so it is unlikely that the upcoming match will be easy for him. Most likely, this meeting will take place in a fight, so Matteo will be able to at least get a positive head start.
Our prediction is that Arnaldi will win with a handicap of (+4) games for a coefficient of 1.81
Bet on the total
Just recently, the tennis players had a face-to-face match as part of the competition in Madrid. That match ended with Arnaldi winning in two sets. We expect a fight in the upcoming match - after all, Djokovic is probably aiming for a rematch. The second betting tip is a total of more than 22 games for a coefficient of 1.86
Bet on the first set
In four of Djokovic's last five matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set. Most likely, the upcoming meeting against Arnaldi will also start with the grassroots first game.
The betting tip is a total of less than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 1.80
