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Alex De Minaur as Denis Shapovalov. Prediction for the ATP Madrid match

Spain
Alex de Minaur
Australia
30.04.25
Alex de Minaur0 : 2Lorenzo Musetti
26.04.25
Alex de Minaur2 : 0Lorenzo Sonego
18.04.25
Carlos Alcaraz2 : 0Alex de Minaur
17.04.25
Jacob Fearnley0 : 2Alex de Minaur
15.04.25
Tomas Etcheverry0 : 2Alex de Minaur
12.04.25
Lorenzo Musetti2 : 1Alex de Minaur
Madrid Open
arantxa-sanchez-vicario
Canada
26.04.25
Kei Nishikori0 : 2Denis Shapovalov
15.04.25
Diego Dedura-Palomero1 : 0Denis Shapovalov
07.04.25
Marcos Giron2 : 0Denis Shapovalov
24.03.25
Taylor Fritz2 : 0Denis Shapovalov
22.03.25
Thiago Agustin Tirante1 : 2Denis Shapovalov
11.03.25
Denis Shapovalov0 : 2Carlos Alcaraz

De Minaur and Shapovalov will meet in the third round of the Masters in Madrid on April 28. De Minaur has been showing excellent play and consistent results on the court this season. The Australian reached the semi-finals of the Monte Carlo Masters and was in the quarterfinals in Barcelona last week. Given Alex's high-quality clay-court tennis, it will be extremely difficult for the unstable Shapovalov to impose a fight on him. What bets should I pay attention to in the upcoming match? - find out in our betting tip

Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction and Betting Tips (29.04.2025)

Command Analysis

Alex de Minaur

Australia

Current form

De Minaur scored a 6-2, 6-3 victory over Lorenzo Sonego in the second round of the competition in Madrid. Alex scored one ace, made four break points and lost one game on his serve. The Australian has six wins and two losses on clay this season.

Professional qualities

De Minaur is famous for his excellent footwork and outstanding speed. His movements on the court can be considered reference - the Australian covers huge areas and is able to effectively respond to aggressive shots from opponents, often pulling balls out of seemingly hopeless situations. This season, the Australian is surprising with his results on clay - the semi-finals in Monte Carlo and reaching the quarterfinals in Barcelona prove that Alex is slowly becoming a versatile tennis player.

Current indicators in the tour

De Minaur has nine ATP titles won during his career. Last season, the 26-year-old Australian won trophies at tournaments in Acapulco and 'S-Hertogenbosch. Alex is currently in seventh place in the world ranking.

Interesting facts for betting

De Minaur has won 7 of the last 10 matches.

Denis Shapovalov

Canada

Current form

Shapovalov defeated Kei Nishikori 6-1, 6-4 in the second round of the Masters in Madrid. Denis made four aces, made three break points, and did not lose a single game on his serve. It was the Canadian's first victory on clay this season, with two losses.

Professional qualities

Shapovalov prefers aggressive tennis, betting on powerful shots. The Canadian actively uses both the forehand and his spectacular one-handed backhand, trying to quickly complete the draws with spectacular winners. However, his unstable emotional state often becomes an obstacle to progress - after bright victories, Denis sometimes enters the court internally devastated, which leads to unexpected defeats.

Current indicators in the tour

Shapovalov was once ranked tenth in the world rankings. Now he is in the 30th position. During his career, the 26-year-old Canadian has won three ATP titles. He completed the last of them this season, winning the competition in Dallas.

Interesting facts for betting

Shapovalov has won only three times in the last eight matches.

Trends

The Victory of De Minaurbet

Shapovalov lost in the last 4 head-to-head matches

1.21
1.21

The 1st setbetis De Minaur's victory

De Minaur won the 1st set in 6 of the last 7 matches

1.33
1.33

De Minaur Handicapbet(-1.5)

De Minaur has won games with a handicap (-1.5) in 7 of the last 8 matches

1.33
1.33

The bet of the 2nd set is De Minaur's victory

De Minaur won the 2nd set in the last 5 head-to-head matches

1.35
1.35

The Totalbetis less than 2.5 sets

7 of Shapovalov's last 8 matches were played in two sets.

1.45
1.45

The Totalbetis less than 22.5

Shapovalov has played less than 22.5 games in 6 of his last 7 matches.

1.64
1.64

The Totalbetis less than 21.5

In 6 of De Minaur's last 7 matches, less than 21.5 games were played.

1.97
1.97

IT De Minaur'srateis less than 12.5

De Minaur has won less than 12.5 games in 6 of the last 7 matches

1.98
1.98

Tip and bets

1.98De Minaur with a handicap (-4)

De Minaur has surprisingly demonstrated good performance and results on non-core ground this season. Just recently, he played in the semi-finals of the Monte Carlo competition and reached the quarterfinals at the Barcelona tournament. Alex shows high-quality tennis on a dirt surface, which the unstable Shapovalov is unlikely to be able to cope with.

Our prediction is that De Minaur will win with a handicap of (-4) games for a coefficient of 1.98

Do you agree with this bet?
1.91The total is less than 22

Bet on the total

De Minaur and Shapovalov had previously met five times during their careers. Their last head-to-head match was played in two sets and, most likely, the upcoming match will also be played in two games.

The second betting tip is a total of less than 22 games for a coefficient of 1.91

Bet on the first set

In three of Shapovalov's last five matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set. Most likely, the upcoming meeting against De Minaur will also start with the grassroots first game.

The betting tip is a total of less than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 1.96

Do you agree with this bet?

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Betting predictions stat

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6tips
3win
0refund
3losing
-0.02%of profit
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382tips
178win
38refund
166losing
-3.96%of profit