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Lorenzo Musetti as Alex De Minaur. Betting Tip for the Monte Carlo ATP match

Monaco
Lorenzo Musetti
Italy
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters
court-rainier-iii

Muzetti and De Minaur will meet in the semi-finals of the Monte Carlo Masters on April 12. Muzetti has already demonstrated his character three times in Monte Carlo, winning matches after losing the first set. However, has the Italian's luck limit been reached? In the semi-final against De Minaur, any mistake could be fatal for Lorenzo, especially considering that the Australian scored a decent move. What betting options should be considered in the upcoming meeting? - find out in our betting tip

Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaur Prediction and Betting Tips (12.04.2025)

Command Analysis

Lorenzo Musetti

Italy

Current form

In the quarterfinals of the Monte Carlo Masters, Muzetti was stronger than Stefanos Tsitsipas - 1-6, 6-3, 6-4. Lorenzo made one ace in the match, made three break points and lost three games on his serve. Earlier, he passed Matteo Berrettini, Jiri Lehechek and Bu Yunchaokete in the tournament bracket.

Professional qualities

Muzetti is a technical tennis player who knows how to competently adapt to the game of any opponent. If necessary, he is ready to play defensively, if necessary, Lorenzo is able to take the initiative into his own hands. The Italian's forehand is working fine on the Monte Carlo courts. As well as his signature one-handed shot, although Muzetti's backhand is not as stable as when playing forehand.

Current indicators in the tour

Muzetti won his last trophy in his career on the outdoor hard court in Naples. It was the second ATP title of his career for the 23-year-old Italian. Lorenzo is currently in 16th place in the world rankings.

Interesting facts for betting

In 6 of the last 7 winning matches, Musetti won in three sets.

Alex de Minaur

Australia

Current form

De Minaur scored a 6-0, 6-0 victory over Grigor Dimitrov in the quarterfinals of the Monte Carlo Masters. Alex didn't make a single ace in the match, but he made six break points and didn't lose a single game on his serve. Earlier, the Australian beat Daniil Medvedev and Tomas Makhach in the tournament bracket.

Professional qualities

De Minaur's main weapon is incredible speed and reaction. The Australian is able to reach seemingly hopeless balls. Alex's punches may lack power, but he takes his toll due to reliable play on the back line. At the same time, De Minaur is stable both with forehand and backhand shots.

Current indicators in the tour

Last season, De Minaur won the Ultimate Tennis Showdown exhibition tournament and won competitions in Acapulco and 'S-Hertogenbosch. In total, the 26-year-old Australian has won nine ATP titles in his career. Alex is currently in sixth place in the world ranking.

Interesting facts for betting

De Minaur has lost only four games in the last two matches.

Trends

De Minaur'sbetwith a handicap of (+1.5) sets

De Minaur has won by a handicap (+1.5) of a set in 23 of the last 25 matches

1.28
1.28

Muzetti's bet with a handicap of (+1.5) sets

Muzetti won with a handicap (+1.5) of a set in 12 of the last 13 matches

1.49
1.49

IT Musetti'sbidis more than 11.5

Muzetti has won more than 11.5 games in 8 of the last 9 matches

1.57
1.57

The 1st setbetis De Minaur's victory

Muzetti lost the 1st set in 6 of the last 7 matches.

1.77
1.77

Muzetti's handicapbet(+1.5)

Muzetti has won games with a handicap (+1.5) in 12 of the last 13 matches

1.99
1.99

Tip and bets

1.78De Minaur's victory

Muzetti won three of the four matches on the courts of Monte Carlo, losing the first game. It seems that the Italian's luck limit is coming to an end - in the semifinals, every mistake can be too expensive, especially against De Minaur, who seems to be getting better with each match, given his dry victory over Dimitrov in the quarterfinals.

Our prediction is that De Minaur will win by a factor of 1.78

Do you agree with this bet?
2.03The total is more than 22

Bet on the total

Earlier in their careers, the tennis players met with each other twice. Their last head-to-head match was played last season at a tournament in Queens and it was played in three sets. We expect that the upcoming duel between Musetti and De Minaur will also be a riding match.

The second betting tip is a total of more than 22 games for a coefficient of 2.03

Bet on the first set

In De Minaur's last four matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set. Most likely, the upcoming meeting against Muzetti will also start with the grassroots first game.

The betting tip is a total of less than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 1.81

Do you agree with this bet?

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