LiontipsRune - Draper: prediction and bets on the ATP Indian Wells match
Command Analysis
Current form
Rune beat Daniil Medvedev 7-5, 6-4 in the semifinals of the Indian Wells competition. Holger scored one ace, made three break points and lost one game on his serve. Earlier, the Dane passed Tallon Grikspur, Stefanos Tsitsipas, Hugo Umber and Corentin Muthe in the tournament bracket.
Professional qualities
Rune has an outstanding backhand, but his forehand often does not live up to expectations. In addition, the Dane faces difficulties in protracted matches, as at a certain stage his physical condition begins to deteriorate significantly. So far, Holger's physical condition is fine - he spent a little less than two hours on court in the semifinal against Medvedev.
Current indicators in the tour
Rune is the 13th racket of the world at the moment. During his career, the 21-year-old Dane has won four ATP titles. He won the last one in 2023 at a dirt track competition in Munich.
Interesting facts for betting
Rune has lost his last two finals.
Current form
Draper emerged victorious in a duel against Carlos Alcaraz in the semifinals of the Indian Wells competition - 6-1, 0-6, 6-4. In the match against the Spaniard, Jack made four aces, made four break points and lost four games on his serve. Earlier, the Briton passed Ben Shelton, Taylor Fritz, Jenson Brooksby and Joao Fonseca in the tournament bracket.
Professional qualities
Draper can easily be criticized for the predictability of the game. However, the Briton is not only a player who relies on strength, but also a tennis player with good technique. He constantly puts pressure on his opponents with powerful punches with strong topspin, both forehand and backhand.
Current indicators in the tour
Draper is currently ranked 14th in the world. During his career, the 23-year-old Briton has won two ATP trophies. Jack won his last title in this category last season on the indore courts of Vienna.
Interesting facts for betting
Draper has 14 wins and only two losses on the open hard this season.
Trends
Bet Effectiveness of sets: 2>1
In 3 of the last 5 Rune matches, events on the court developed according to this scenario
2.31There is no Tie-breakbetin the match
This bet played in 3 of Draper's 5 previous matches.
1.61Tip and bets
Draper's tournament grid was more complicated. He beat Fritz and Shelton in two sets, and finally put an end to Alcaraz's dominance in Indian Wells. We consider Jack to be the clear favorite of this finale and give preference to him.
Our prediction is that Draper will win with a (-2) game handicap by a factor of 1.85
Bet on the total
Rune and Draper had previously met each other during their careers. Last season, they had a head-to-head match at the Cincinnati Masters and that meeting was played in two sets. Most likely, the upcoming duel between them will also be grassroots.
The second betting tip is a total of less than 23 games for a coefficient of 1.85
Bet on the first set
In three of Draper's last five matches, more than 9.5 games were played in the first set. Most likely, the upcoming meeting against Rune will also start with the riding of the first game.
The betting tip is a total of more than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 1.77
