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Shapovalov is an Alcaraz. Prediction for the ATP Indian Wells match

USA
Denis Shapovalov
Canada
BNP Paribas Open
stadium-1

Shapovalov and Alcaraz will meet in the third round of the Indian Wells tournament on March 11. Alcaraz had previously beaten Shapovalov. In 2023, he beat the Canadian on the courts of Roland Garros. Will the Spaniard be able to upset Denis again? - the bets for this match are in our betting tip

Denis Shapovalov vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction and Betting Tips (11.03.2025)

Command Analysis

Denis Shapovalov

Canada

Current form

Shapovalov started the Indian Wells Masters with a convincing victory over Adam Walton (6-3, 6-2). Denis made two aces in the confrontation with the Australian, made five break points and lost two games on his serve. For the Canadian, it was his sixth win on the outdoor hard court this season, with four losses.

Professional qualities

Shapovalov is an attack—oriented player who is not inclined to pay much attention to defense. His serve is powerful, and his punches from both sides are aggressive. He wins most of the points with a forehand, although a two-handed backhand in good form also earns him a lot of points. Now the Canadian is in excellent playing conditions.

Current indicators in the tour

Shapovalov has already won one tournament this season - he successfully won back at the competitions in Dallas, which were held on Indore. For Denis, it was the third ATP title of his career. In the world ranking, the Canadian is currently in 28th place.

Interesting facts for betting

Shapovalov has scored nine wins in the last ten matches.

Carlos Alcaraz

Spain

Current form

Alcaraz reached the third round of the Indian Wells competition with a 6-4, 6-2 victory over Quentin Gali. Carlos made seven aces against the Frenchman, made three break points and did not lose a single game on his serve. It was the Spaniard's seventh win on the open hard court this season in nine matches.

Professional qualities

Finding Alcaraz's weaknesses is extremely difficult, as every aspect of his game is at a high level. The only thing he's actively improving is his serve to earn more easy points and maintain a steady pace. In previous years, he has shown excellent results on the courts of Indian Wells.

Current indicators in the tour

Alcaraz won the indore tournament in Rotterdam this season. It was the 18th ATP title of his career for the Spaniard. Carlos is currently in third place in the world rankings.

Interesting facts for betting

Alcaraz is the current winner of the Indian Wells Masters.

Trends

There is no Tie-breakbetin the match

This bet played in 3 of the 5 previous Alcaraz matches.

1.39
1.39

Bet Effectiveness of sets: 1>2

In 3 of Shapovalov's last 5 matches, events on the court developed according to this scenario

2.22
2.22

Tip and bets

1.73Alcaraz with a head start (-4)

Alcaraz looks great on the courts of Indian Wells. The current coverage perfectly matches Carlos' playing characteristics. We believe that the upcoming match will be under his control and he will confidently deal with Shapovalov in two sets.

Our prediction is that Alcaraz will win with a handicap of (-4) games for a coefficient of 1.73

Do you agree with this bet?
1.86The total is less than 21

Bet on the total

The only face-to-face match between Shapovalov and Alcaraz was played through the bottom. Most likely, the upcoming match between tennis players will also be grassroots.

The second betting tip is a total of less than 21 games for a coefficient of 1.86

Bet on the first set

In three of Alcaraz's last five matches, more than 9.5 games were played in the first set. We believe that the upcoming match against Shapovalov will also start with the first game on horseback.

The betting tip is a total of more than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 2.02

Do you agree with this bet?

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TOP Tips

3 May | 06:30
Лейпциг:
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2.00

Tips from experts

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31 Mar | 12:00
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7 Mar | 11:30
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Betting predictions stat

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8tips
4win
0refund
4losing
-0.04%of profit
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382tips
178win
38refund
166losing
-3.96%of profit