LiontipsMuller — Baez forecast and bets for the Rio de Janeiro ATP match
Command Analysis
Current form
Muller defeated Francisco Comesana (7-5, 6-7, 6-3) in the semi-finals of the competition in Rio de Janeiro. Aleksandar scored one ace against the Argentine, made five break points and lost three games on his serve. Earlier in the tournament, the Frenchman scored victories over Francisco Cerundolo, Thomas Etcheverry and Joao Fonseca.
Professional qualities
Muller's serve is not particularly fast, although it is quite accurate. It is easy for a Frenchman to earn easy points, so he prefers to play long draws, forcing opponents to make mistakes by changing the rhythm and often using shortened strokes.
Current indicators in the tour
Muller has already won one trophy this season - he won a tournament in Hong Kong in early January. It was the first ATP title of his career for him. In the world ranking, the French tennis player is currently in 60th place.
Interesting facts for betting
5 of Muller's last 6 matches ended in two sets.
Current form
In the semi-finals of the competition in Rio de Janeiro, Baez scored a strong-willed victory over Camilo Hugo-Carabelli (3-6, 6-1, 6-1). Sebastian made seven aces in a duel with his compatriot, made six break points and lost two games on his serve. Earlier, the Argentine passed Chun Sin Price, Mariano Navone and Roman Burruchaga in the tournament bracket.
Professional qualities
Baes is unstable, but this is due to the fact that it is difficult for him to adapt to fast coatings. However, the Argentine feels confident on the ground, thanks to excellent footwork and the ability to control the draws. Due to his short stature, there is no powerful serve in the Argentine's arsenal, but he compensates for this disadvantage with a reliable reception. Special attention should be paid to Sebastian's forehand, which almost never lets him down.
Current indicators in the tour
Baez has won 17 trophies in his career, six of which are in the ATP category. Last season, he won on the clay courts of Rio de Janeiro and Santiago. The Argentine tennis player is currently ranked 31st in the world rankings.
Interesting facts for betting
Baez has won his last two finals.
Trends
Bet Effectiveness of sets: 1>2
In 3 of Muller's last 5 matches, events on the court developed according to this scenario
2.28There is no Tie-breakbetin the match
This bet played in 3 of the 5 previous Baez matches.
1.46Tip and bets
Baez is the current champion of the competition in Rio de Janeiro. Sebastian has a lot of experience playing in the finals of ATP tournaments, especially on clay. We consider him a clear favorite for the upcoming match. Muller is also in good shape, but a protracted duel against Komesana in the semifinals may have taken a lot out of him, so he probably won't be fresh in a duel against an experienced Argentine.
Our prediction is that Baez will win with a handicap of (-3) games by a factor of 1.91
Bet on the total
We expect that this match will end with the victory of the more experienced Baez, who is also the current champion of the competition in Rio de Janeiro. Most likely, the upcoming match will not last long.
The second forecast is a total of less than 22 games for a coefficient of 1.88
Bet on the first set
In three of Baez's last five matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set. We believe that the upcoming meeting against Mueller will also begin with the "grassroots" first party.
The forecast is a total of less than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 1.81
