Sabalenka vs Pavlyuchenkova: Australian Open match prediction

Australia
Aryna Sabalenka
Belarus
Australian Open WTA
rod-laver-arena
Russian Federation

Arina Sabalenka and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova will play in one of the quarterfinals of the Australian Open on January 21. The world number one tennis player confidently passed four rounds, without losing a single game. The Russian tennis player had a hard start in Melbourne, played two three-set matches, after which she noticeably improved and made two convincing victories over Siegemund and Vekic. From our betting tip you can find out how the game will go today and what are the best bets to choose

Aryna Sabalenka vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova Prediction and Betting Tips (21.01.2025)

Command Analysis

Aryna Sabalenka

Belarus

Current form

From the very first matches of the new season, Sabalenka clearly outlined her desire to hold on to the first place in the world ranking. Arina won the title in Brisbane and has won all nine of her matches since the beginning of the year, giving up only one set. In Melbourne, she is defending last year title and is confidently moving towards another trophy on local courts. In the tournament grid, Sabalenka won Stephens, Busam Maneiro and Tauson with an exact score of 2-0 in sets. In the 1/8 finals, the Belarusian tennis player once again crushed Mirra Andreeva (6-1, 6-2).

Professional qualities

Arina plays her usual aggressive attacking tennis, relying on a powerful serve and a strong forehand. At the same time, it should be noted that she has recently greatly improved the reliability of her game on the back line, trying to play more variably.

Current indicators in the tour

Sabalenka finished the last season as the world number one tennis player. In the new year, Arina won only nine of her matches. She lost the only set in the final in Brisbane against Polina Kudermetova (4-6, 6-3, 6-2).

Interesting facts for betting

  • Sabalenka won all four of her victories in Melbourne on her way to the quarterfinals with a precise score of 2-0 in sets.
  • In four of Sabalenka previous six matches, the second set has not gone more than nine games.

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova

Russian Federation

Current form

Pavlyuchenkova reached the quarterfinals of the Australian Open for the fourth time in her career. The Russian has never advanced past this stage. Anastasia had a hard time entering the tournament, and in her first two matches she only broke the resistance of Yuan Yue and Potapova in three sets. However, she gradually got going and in her last two matches she secured confident victories over Siegemund (6-1, 6-2) and Vekic (7-6, 6-0).

Professional qualities

Pavlyuchenkova has a wealth of experience playing on tour, which often helps her. Anastasia can play in an aggressive style, hit powerfully, using a rich arsenal of blows. At the same time, she tries to play tactically competently, knows how to force opponents to make mistakes, hold the ball on the back line.

Current indicators in the tour

Since the beginning of the year, Pavlyuchenkova has played five matches on the tour, winning four. In the world rankings, Anastasia is currently ranked 32nd, but after the Australian Open she will clearly improve her result, since last year she hung up her racket in the second round on local courts.

Interesting facts for betting

  • In two of three personal meetings, Pavlyuchenkova beat Sabalenka
  • Two of Pavlyuchenkova last three matches involved tie-breaks

Trends

Match Tie-Break Bet – Yes

In two of Pavlyuchenkova last three matches, three tie-breaks were played

4.10
4.10

Rate Set Result: 1>2

This scenario has played out in three of Sabalenka last five matches.

2.24
2.24

Tip and bets

1.7Pavlyuchenkova with a handicap (+6.5)

Pavlyuchenkova knows how to play and beat Arina, as she leads in personal meetings with a score of 2:1. Of course, the matches were played a long time ago, but in general, Anastasia is able to find the right tactical decisions, plus she can powerfully respond to the aggressive tennis of the world number one racket, she is noticeably improving in Melbourne from match to match, there are fewer and fewer unforced errors in her game. We believe that today will not be an easy walk for Sabalenka.

Our prediction is Pavlyuchenkova victory with a handicap of (+6.5) games with odds of 1.70

Do you agree with this bet?
1.79Total over 18

Bet on total

In two of the three personal meetings, the tennis players played three sets. Today we expect a fairly close fight and recommend a betting tip for the total over. Moreover, in two of Arina four matches in Melbourne, more than 18 games were played.

The second bet is total over 18 games for 1.79

Bet on the second set

Note that in two of Sabalenka three previous matches at the Australian Open, more than nine games were played in the second set. We expect in our betting tip that it is in this segment of the game that the most intense battle will unfold today.

Betting Tip - total games in the second set over 9.5 with odds of 2.47

Do you agree with this bet?

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