LiontipsNaomi Osaka vs Belinda Bencic. Australian Open Match Prediction and Bets
Command Analysis
Current form
Osaka had a strong preparation for the start of the Australian Open, made it to the final of the tournament in Hobart, but due to an injury she was unable to finish the decisive match against Tauson, although she won the first set. The tournament grid in Melbourne is not easy for Naomi. Nevertheless, she broke the resistance of Garcia and Muchova in three-set battles, and was an obvious underdog for the bookmakers against the Czech.
Professional qualities
Naomi is a former number one tennis player, she has a decent technical arsenal, a strong first serve and a powerful forehand. Among her weak points, we note that she is far from the best in receiving, plus, recently, she has noticeably slowed down in the speed of movement on the court.
Current indicators in the tour
Osaka is ranked a lowly 51st in the world, but is losing hope of returning to the top 10. This year, Naomi has played seven matches on tour, in which she suffered only one defeat, and that was by forfeit.
Interesting facts for betting
Osaka played three sets in two matches in Melbourne
Current form
Bencic only returned to the tour at the end of last year after giving birth to her child, but she has already managed to get into decent shape. Over two rounds in Melbourne, the Swiss tennis player did not give up a single set, although it cannot be said that her victories were easy, she played the matches too unevenly. At the start, with a score of 6-3, 7-6, Belinda defeated Ostapenko, and then in the same style beat Lamens (6-1, 7-6).
Professional qualities
Belinda likes to play at a high tempo, forcing her opponents to make mistakes. However, sometimes, when she is not in shape, she makes many mistakes in such an active game. It is worth noting that the Swiss tennis player has a powerful first serve in her arsenal.
Current indicators in the tour
Bencic returned to the tour after giving birth and is trying to actively move up the rankings. At the moment, the former fourth racket of the world is in a lowly 294th place. In 2025, she won six of eight matches on the tour.
Interesting facts for betting
Two matches in Melbourne involving Bencic involved tiebreaks
Trends
Bet Total over 2.5 sets
Two of the last three head-to-head matches saw the maximum number of sets played
2.37Match Tie-Break Bet – Yes
Tie-breaks were played in Bencic two previous matches
2.37Tip and bets
Bookmakers give the Japanese tennis player an advantage in the upcoming meeting, although it cannot be said that Bencic is inferior to her in any way at the moment. Plus, Belinda is an inconvenient opponent for Naomi, since she has won four out of five head-to-head encounters. We expect an equal game and recommend a betting tip for the underdog.
Our prediction is Bencic victory with a handicap of (+3) games with odds of 1.69
Bet on total
It is logical to count on the total being higher in a match between largely equal opponents. Moreover, in two of the last three head-to-head encounters the tennis players played three sets.
The second bet is total over 21 games for 1.65
Bet on the second set
Note that in the last three matches involving Bencic, more than nine games were played in the second set. We expect a close fight today in this particular game segment.
Betting Tip - total games in the second set over 9.5 with odds of 1.94
