LiontipsRublev vs Fonseca. Australian Open match prediction and bets
Command Analysis
Current form
Rublev played only at the tournament in Hong Kong before the Australian Open, where he lost to Fabian Marozsan in the first round. Last season, Andrey had 27 wins and 13 losses on open hard courts.
Professional qualities
Rublev has distinct strengths and weaknesses. His powerful forehand is his game greatest asset, and has allowed him to maintain a high level on tour for the past six years. However, his straightforward play and impulsiveness sometimes hinder him, especially against top players. These qualities can lead to emotional breakdowns, such as breaking rackets or aggressively expressing frustration on the court.
Current indicators in the tour
Rublev is the ninth racket in the world. In total, Andrey has won 23 trophies in his career. Last season, he won the tournament in Hong Kong, in the final of which he beat Emil Ruusuvuori. And the Russian also won the clay court competition held in Madrid - here in the final he defeated Felix Auger-Aliassime.
Interesting facts for betting
Rublev has reached the quarterfinals of the Australian Open in the last two seasons.
Current form
Fonseca continues his winning streak from last season, which now totals 13 matches in a row. This year, we recall, Joao won the challenger in Canberra and beat all his opponents in the Australian Open qualification in two sets. Last year, on open hard courts, the Brazilian had eight wins and three losses.
Professional qualities
Fonseca is slowly developing into a player capable of winning titles at the ATP level. In 2024, he had problems with his serve, including double faults, but since December they have virtually disappeared. He has a terrific forehand and excellent court movement. His recent results on open hard courts show his versatility.
Current indicators in the tour
Fonseca is the 112th racket in the world. Last season, the Brazilian tennis player won two titles. He won the open hard court in Lexington, in the final of which he beat Tu Li. And at the end of the year, he won the youth tournament, where in the final match he broke the resistance of Lerner Thien.
Interesting facts for betting
Fonseca winning streak stands at 13 matches.
Trends
Rate Set Result: 2>1
In 3 of Rublev last 5 matches, events on the court have unfolded according to this scenario
2.33Bet Tie-break in the match - no
This bet has paid off in 3 of Fonseca 5 previous matches
2.58Tip and bets
Rublev current playing condition is questionable. The loss to Marozsan in the first round of the tournament in Hong Kong, where he had to defend last year title, suggests that Andrey is clearly not in the best shape at the moment. Therefore, in this match we suggest giving preference to Fonseca, who already has 13 victories in a row.
Our betting tip is Fonseca victory at odds of 2.29
Bet on total
This match is likely to be a drawn-out one. Rublev is the favourite on paper, but Fonseca is in excellent form and will certainly be able to create problems for the Russian.
The second betting tip is total over 39 games for odds of 1.78
Bet on the first set
Three of Fonseca last five matches have seen the first set go to fewer than 9.5 games. We expect his upcoming encounter with Rublev to start with a low first set as well.
Betting Tip - total under 9.5 games in the first set for odds of 2.11
