LiontipsKeys - Kasatkina: betting tip for the WTA Adelaide match
In the quarterfinals of the tennis tournament in Adelaide on January 9, Madison Keys will play against Daria Kasatkina. The American confidently leads in personal meetings with a score of 9-2, she is comfortable with her attacking aggressive tennis playing against Daria. Should we expect any surprises today, or will the bookmakers' favorite easily secure another victory? We suggest you familiarize yourself with our betting tip and choose reliable bets
Match announcement
Madison Keys
USACurrent form
The American tennis player entered the season very confidently, and clearly had a good preparation. Last week in Brisbane, Madison made it to the quarterfinals and has already achieved the same result in Adelaide. In the draw, she crushed Haddad Maia (6-2, 6-1) at the start, after which she won a strong-willed victory over Ostapenko in three sets (3-6, 6-4, 6-3). It should be noted that Keys is playing on local courts for the first time in her career.
Professional qualities
Keys relies on a powerful first serve and a strong forehand in her game. The American always tries to quickly finish rallies in a few hits, as she feels uncomfortable when exchanging on the back line. She also takes risks on the return, trying to hit a winner, Kasatkina's not-so-mile serve will definitely not be a particular problem for her.
Current indicators in the tour
Keys is currently ranked 20th in the world, although she was recently in the top 10, where she clearly wants to return. Since the beginning of the year, Madison has already won four victories and suffered only one defeat.
Interesting facts for betting
- Keys has played two sets in four of her five matches in 2025
- Keys leads in head-to-head meetings with Kasatkina with a score of 9-2
Daria Kasatkina
Russian FederationCurrent form
Kasatkina did not please with her game and results in Brisbane last week. Daria won Stearns with difficulty in three sets, after which she lost to Polina Kudermetova, although she was leading in the decisive set with a score of 5-2. In Adelaide, the Russian tennis player is defending points for last year's final, while she has not had any really strong opponents. In the first round, Kasatkina confidently defeated Gadecki (6-2, 6-3), after which she beat Jones, who is far from being the most formidable, with some problems (7-5, 6-3).
Professional qualities
Darya has played defensive tennis throughout her career, relying on a good return and a stable game on the baseline. She is distinguished by her endurance, capable of getting the most difficult balls, but she clearly lacks power in her shots and a powerful serve.
Current indicators in the tour
Kasatkina finished the last season in the top 10, where she is trying to stay. At the moment, she is the ninth racket in the world. In 2025, Daria played four matches on the tour, won three victories and suffered one defeat.
Interesting facts for betting
- In the last three matches involving Kasatkina, no more than nine games were played in the second set
- In Adelaide, Daria defends her ranking points from last year's final
Trends
Total under 2.5 sets bet
In 8 out of 11 head-to-head matches, the minimum number of sets was played
1.42Rate Set Result: 1>2
This scenario has played out in four of the last five head-to-head meetings.
2.24Tip and bets
Keys has been showing solid play since the start of the season, acting in her usual attacking manner. Kasatkina is clearly still gaining her playing form, allowing herself many unforced errors, which was noticeable in the match against Jones, who is not the strongest. The American with her aggressive tennis is an inconvenient opponent for Daria, leads with a score of 9-2 in personal meetings and is very likely to gain the upper hand again.
Our prediction is Keys' victory with odds of 1.53
Bet on total
If Keys starts playing the way she has been playing on the courts in Adelaide, it is unlikely that Daria will be able to cope with her attacks. We do not expect more than 21 games in the upcoming match.
The second bet is total under 21 games for 1.92
Bet on the first set
Keys has failed five matches on the tour since the beginning of the year, and in three of them, no more than nine games were played in the first set. We expect in the betting tip that the American will immediately indicate her advantage today.
Betting Tip - total games in the first set under 9.5 with odds of 1.74
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