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Thompson vs Berrettini. ATP Brisbane Match Prediction
Thompson and Berrettini will meet in the first round of the tournament in Brisbane on December 30. The history of personal meetings speaks in favor of Berrettini, but the current form of the players and the features of the hard surface make their own adjustments. Thompson demonstrates stable progress and is capable of imposing a serious fight on the Italian. How will the upcoming match go? - bets on this match are in our forecast.
Command Analysis
Jordan Thompson
AustraliaCurrent form
Thompson had a 23-13 record on outdoor hard courts last season. He had his best result on this surface last season at the tournament in Los Cabos, where he won.
Professional qualities
Thompson stands out with a good serve and a well-placed forehand. His ball delivery provides many easy points, be it aces or fast combinations. Jordan forehand is especially dangerous due to its low bounce, which creates serious difficulties for opponents. On fast hard courts, the Australian has a chance to put up a decent fight even against stronger opponents, but it is worth considering that he does not always play well on the return.
Current indicators in the tour
The Los Cabos victory is Thompson only trophy of the past season. Jordan is currently ranked 26th in the world. At his home tournament in Brisbane, the Australian is defending his semifinal from last year.
Interesting facts for betting
Thompson last three matches have ended in straight sets.
Matteo Berrettini
ItalyCurrent form
Berrettini ended last season on a high note. He won the Davis Cup with the Italian national team. In 2024, Matteo won seven victories and suffered six defeats on outdoor hard courts.
Professional qualities
Berrettini is known for his powerful serve. The Italian also has a killer forehand, which he uses to win many points. However, his two-handed backhand is weak and sometimes vulnerable. On grass, he successfully uses slices, but on hard, this technique is less effective.
Current indicators in the tour
Berrettini is a former world No. 6. The Italian is currently ranked No. 34 in the world. In addition to winning the Davis Cup, Berrettini has successfully played in clay court tournaments in Marrakech, Gstaad and Kitzbühel. He currently has 16 career trophies to his name, including ten ATP titles.
Interesting facts for betting
Berrettini has played three tiebreaks in his last five matches.
Trends
Rate Set Result: 2>1
In 3 of Thompson last 5 matches, the events on the court have unfolded according to this scenario
2.33Bet Tie-break in the match - no
This bet has paid off in 3 of Berrettini last 5 matches
1.82Tip and bets
Berrettini leads the head-to-head match with Thompson with a score of 2-0. However, in the upcoming match it is necessary to take into account that Thompson plays at home and the fans will support him. In addition, Jordan plays quite well on hard courts. Most likely, the Australian will be able to cling to a positive handicap in the match with Matteo.
Our prediction is Thomson victory with a handicap of (+3) games at odds of 1.75
Bet on total
Thompson and Berrettini have met twice in their careers. Their last face-to-face encounter was played on an open hard court and it was a "top" match. We expect that the upcoming match between the tennis players will also be "top" match.
The second forecast is total over 23 games for odds of 1.98
Bet on the first set
Three of Berrettini last five matches have seen the first set go to fewer than 9.5 games, and the upcoming meeting with Thompson will likely start with a low first set as well.
Forecast - total under 9.5 games in the first set for odds of 2.16
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