Liontips
Tsitsipas vs. Carreno Busta. United Cup Match Prediction
Tsitsipas and Carreno-Busta will meet on December 28 in the group stage of the United Cup team competition. Tsitsipas is expecting a difficult start to the season. Carreno-Busta, despite a relatively small amount of playing practice, has a wealth of experience playing at the highest level and will certainly be able to create problems for the Greek. How will the upcoming match go? - bets on this match are in our forecast.
Command Analysis
Stefanos Tsitsipas
GreeceCurrent form
Tsitsipas ended last season with a quarterfinal in Paris, where he lost to Alexander Zverev. In 2024, the Greek tennis player has 13 wins and 11 losses on open hard courts.
Professional qualities
Tsitsipas has noticeably lost in results, which is connected with a number of game nuances. The one-handed backhand, which used to be his strong point, has started to let him down more and more often. The Greek forehand has lost its sharpness, and his serve has lost its former effectiveness, which is why it has become more difficult to compensate for the problems with his left hand. If Stefanos does not improve the consistency and aggressiveness of his right hand, then it will be difficult for him to compete with top players on fast surfaces.
Current indicators in the tour
Last season, Tsitsipas managed to add one trophy to his collection. On the eve of Roland Garros, the Greek won the Masters in Monte Carlo, where he beat Casper Ruud in the final. This was Stefanos' 12th ATP title in his career. He is currently ranked 11th in the world.
Interesting facts for betting
Tsitsipas has won five of his last seven matches.
Pablo Carreno Busta
SpainCurrent form
Carreno Busta has already played one match in the United Cup - at the start of the competition he met with Alexander Shevchenko and beat him in two sets (6-2, 6-1). During the match, the Spaniard hit three aces, converted five break points and lost one game on his serve.
Professional qualities
Carreno Busta, although considered a clay court specialist, feels confident on hard courts. After a series of injuries, it was on this surface that he showed strong performances, including reaching the semifinals of the tournament in Winston-Salem in 2024. The Spaniard’s style of play is focused on attacking, using flat and reliable shots from both sides. In addition, Pablo has improved his serve, which has allowed him to win easy points more often.
Current indicators in the tour
Carreno Busta is a former world No. 10. The Spaniard is currently ranked 196th in the world. Last season, Pablo played only two matches, showing his best result at the tournament in Winston-Salem, where he managed to reach the semi-finals.
Interesting facts for betting
5 of Carreno Busta last 8 matches have ended in defeat for him.
Trends
Rate Set Result: 1>2
In 3 of Tsitsipas' last 5 matches, events on the court have unfolded according to this scenario
2.33Bet Tie-break in the match - no
This bet has played in 3 of the 5 previous Carreno-Busta matches
1.81Tip and bets
On paper, Tsitsipas is stronger, but in fact, the Greek had a difficult season, in which he demonstrated practically nothing on open hard. We do not think that the Greek is a clear favorite in the upcoming match, especially considering that this will be his first match of the new season.
Our prediction is a victory for Carreno-Busta with a handicap of (+3) games at odds of 1.89
Bet on total
Three head-to-head matches between the tennis players were played through the "bottom". However, in the upcoming match we expect a fight, considering that Tsitsipas was feverish all last season - he still has to get into shape.
The second forecast is total over 22 games for odds of 1.84
Bet on the first set
Three of the last five Carreno-Busta matches have seen the first set go to fewer than 9.5 games. We expect the upcoming Pablo vs. Tsitsipas match to also start with a low first set.
Forecast - total under 9.5 games in the first set for odds of 2.21
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