LiontipsFonseca vs. Thien. Prediction and bets on the match Next Gen ATP Finals
Command Analysis
Current form
Fonseca reached the final of the Next Gen ATP Finals, beating Loek Van Assche (4-2, 4-2, 4-1). Joao served six aces, converted four break points and did not lose a single game on his serve during the match. For the Brazilian tennis player, this was his tenth indoor victory this season, with four losses.
Professional qualities
Despite his first significant success, Fonseca already gives the impression of a future top player. His phenomenal physical fitness stands out from his rivals: Joao never tires of covering the entire court with his movement, constantly returning difficult balls. The Brazilian key weapons are powerful shots from both sides, which he consistently directs close to the baseline.
Current indicators in the tour
Fonseca is the 145th racket in the world. The Brazilian tennis player has not yet climbed into the top 100. In his career, Joao has won only one trophy - this year he won the challenger in Lexington, which was held on an open hard court.
Interesting facts for betting
Fonseca has won four in a row.
Current form
Tien secured a comeback win over Alex Mickelsen in the semi-finals of the Next Gen ATP Finals (2-4, 4-2, 1-4, 4-0, 4-1). In the match against his compatriot, Lerner served five aces, converted four break points and lost two games on his serve. The 19-year-old American has ten wins and four losses indoors this season.
Professional qualities
Tien, like many American tennis players, relies on his serve. His serve is not fast, but rather highly accurate and has excellent spin. Lerner forehand is his main attacking tool: fast, sharp and capable of ending a rally with one hit. However, a weak backhand often becomes a vulnerability, especially when tired or under pressure from opponents. Another drawback of the American is a lack of sharpness in movement, which becomes noticeable in matches against higher-level players.
Current indicators in the tour
Tien is currently ranked 122nd in the world. Lerner has never been in the top 100 in his career. This season, the American has seven trophies to his name - he won four futures and three challengers in Bloomfield, Las Vegas and Fairfield. In total, Tien has won ten trophies in his career.
Interesting facts for betting
Tien last five matches have been high-scoring.
Trends
Rate Set Result: 1>2
In 3 of Fonseca last 5 matches, events on the court have unfolded according to this scenario
2.58Total Tie-Break Bet Over 1.5 - Yes
Three of Tien last five matches have gone to tiebreaks
1.93Tip and bets
Fonseca is the favorite in the final, but Thien has proven that he is ready to compete with the best, as evidenced by his victories over Phils and Mickelsen. We believe that the 19-year-old American will at least be able to cling to a positive handicap in the upcoming match.
Our prediction is Tien victory with a handicap of (+4) games at odds of 1.97
Bet on total
The Next Gen ATP Finals are likely to be a high-stakes affair. Both Fonseca and Thien are in great shape heading into the showdown, and are likely to give fans a long battle.
The second forecast is total over 22 games for odds of 1.78
Bet on the first set
In Thien last five matches, the first set was played through the "bottom." We expect that the upcoming match between Lerner and Fonseca will also begin with a "bottom" first set.
Forecast - total under 6.5 games in the first set for odds of 1.93
