LiontipsAlaves vs Barcelona. Prediction (odds 4.20) and betting tips for the La Liga match on October 6, 2024.
Command Analysis
Current Form
After coming close to earning a point against Real Madrid with a pair of late goals, Alaves is looking to channel that momentum into a standout performance against another Spanish giant. The hosts have secured a mid-table position, winning three of their first eight matches, though all victories have come against teams ranked lower at this stage of the season.
In this La Liga campaign, Alaves has only managed to surpass expectations once in their four attempts following a 0-2 defeat to Getafe last round, indicating they may not be in prime condition to snap an eight-year winless streak against Barcelona, which now spans 14 matches in total. Even on home turf, where they've collected seven out of ten points, the last win against Barcelona in any competition dates back to December 2001.
Injuries and Suspensions
Seddar (muscle injury) and Novoa Ramos (muscle injury) will not be featuring today.
Interesting Betting Trends
- Carlo Vicente from Alaves might be the player to catch the opponent off guard at the start of the match.
This hopeful prediction is backed by his statistics, as he has managed to score within the first 20 minutes in each of the last two home games in La Liga.
- The last time Alaves defeated Barcelona was in 2001.
Moreover, the hosts have faced significant challenges in finding the net against the Catalan powerhouse, failing to score in four of their last ten encounters, but today they have the chance to end this frustrating trend.
Probable Line-up: Sivera – Ortiz, Villaribre, Pika, Jay – Gevara, Blanco, Benavides, Romero, Rioja – Garcia.
Current Form
Barcelona returned to winning ways this week, decisively defeating Young Boys 5-0 in the UEFA Champions League, which has reinvigorated their campaign in the tournament. Player of the match Rafinha expressed pride in the team's performance, while head coach Hansi Flick emphasized the need for the team to start matches stronger, especially since all 25 of their La Liga goals this season were scored after the 15-minute mark.
Robert Lewandowski took just eight minutes to score against Young Boys, indicating that their proper placement on the continental stage could signify the much-needed reset following their shocking 2-4 La Liga defeat to Osasuna last weekend.
Injuries and Suspensions
Unavailable for today’s match are Araújo (muscle injury), Gavi (knee injury), Bernal (knee injury), Christensen (injury), Lopez (muscle injury), Olmo (muscle injury), Ter Stegen (knee injury), and de Jong (ankle injury).
Interesting Betting Trends
- Despite their extended winning streak in head-to-head encounters, Barcelona has only managed to achieve a two-goal lead in two of their last six meetings
- The Catalans faced a setback against Osasuna, conceding four goals to this opponent for the first time
Ultimately, the winning streak of 11 matches from the two preceding La Liga seasons holds considerably more significance than a single defeat.
Projected Lineup: Peña – Martín, Dmings, Balde, Koundé – Casado, Torres, Gündoğan, Víctor – Lewandowski, Yamal.
Trends
Bet Goals in Both Halves - Yes
In the last three head-to-head matches, goals were scored in each half
1.76Bet Exact Score 1:3
Two of the last ten encounters ended with this score
12.55Bet Corners: Total Under 9.5
This betting option has hit in 2 out of the last 4 matches of Alaves
1.99Bet Penalties - No
In four of the last six encounters, a penalty was not awarded
1.25Tip and bets
Today we back the visitors, as Barcelona is in great form and starting to build momentum. Alaves is gearing up for a tough match, and facing Barcelona adds extra motivation. However, we believe that mere desire will not be enough in this contest. We anticipate that the Blaugrana will impose their style of play and secure three points.
Our prediction is an Asian handicap of (-1) on Barcelona, with odds of 1.95
Match Outcome Bet
We're favoring the visitors as Barcelona aims to head into the international break on a positive note, and they have everything needed to achieve that. Additionally, the "glorious" side struggles against the Catalans, who have historically been stronger on multiple fronts. However, we don't expect a blowout but anticipate a comfortable win for Barcelona.
Prediction - Barcelona to win by two goals at odds of 4.20
Red Card Bet
Both clubs are likely to compensate for their lack of technique and pace through tactical fouls, leading to a higher number of infractions. Furthermore, there have been three red cards issued in the last three head-to-head matches.
Prediction - Red card (yes) at 3.95
