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St. Pauli vs Mainz: Bundesliga Match Preview
In the previous round, St. Pauli secured their first Bundesliga victory, stunning Freiburg with an impressive away win. Mainz also has just one win from five matches this season. What can we expect from the head-to-head matchup between these teams on October 5, and which bets are the most reliable? Our expert provides insights in this prediction.
Command Analysis
St. Pauli
GermanyCurrent Form
St. Pauli secured its first victory in the fifth round, achieving an unexpected away win against Freiburg with a confident score of 3-0. While the opponent missed several key chances in that match, it's important to highlight St. Pauli's impressive efficiency, converting three out of four shots on target. Prior to this, St. Pauli managed to draw 0-0 with Leipzig. It appears the team is adapting well to the Bundesliga.
Injuries and Suspensions
The squad will be missing Aleris, Burkhardt, and Zoller today due to injuries.
Interesting Betting Trends
- St. Pauli has not lost in the first half of its last three matches
- In four out of the last five games, there has been no exchange of goals
Projected Lineup: Vasil – Val, Smith, Metz – Saliakas, Metcalf, Irwin, Treu – Afolayan, Eggestein, Saad.
Mainz 05
GermanyCurrent Form
Mainz, like their upcoming opponent, has only secured one victory since the start of the season. Their sole win came against Augsburg away with a score of 3-2. However, the squad led by Bo Henriksen couldn't build on that success, losing their next match to Heidenheim at home with a score of 0-2. Notably, Mainz matches are often intense, and emotions run high on the field; in their last three games, five red cards have been issued. As they head into the sixth round, the team sits in 13th place in the standings.
Suspensions and Injuries
Due to suspension, Hanche-Olsson will not play today.
Interesting Betting Trends
- In their last six away matches in the Bundesliga, Mainz has not lost, recording two wins and four draws
- In eight of their last nine away matches in the league, the team has scored
Probable Lineup: Zentner – Casi, Jentz, Kor – Widmer, Sano, Amiri, Mwene – Hon, Lee – Burkardt.
Trends
Bet No goals in both halves
In four of the last five matches, St Pauli did not score in both halves
1.82Bet Mainz win on fouls
In three of the last four matches, Mainz players committed more fouls than their opponents
1.75Bet Exact score 1:1
In two of the last six matches, Mainz played to a draw
6.40Tip and bets
St. Pauli has managed to stabilize their defense, keeping a clean sheet in their last two matches. However, their opponents created numerous dangerous chances, suggesting they were somewhat lucky. Mainz struggles with consistency, capable of delivering a strong performance in moments but also prone to significant failures. Both teams display erratic form, and in such a matchup without a clear favorite, a goal exchange seems likely.
Our prediction is both teams to score at odds of 1.71.
Match Outcome Bet
There is no clear favorite in this matchup, with both teams having roughly equal chances of success. A bet on a draw seems reasonable as it would suit both sides.
The second bet is a draw with odds of 3.40.
Corner Betting
In three of their last four matches, St. Pauli did not win the corner count. It appears that bookmakers may be slightly overestimating the hosts' performance in this area.
The prediction is that Mainz will not lose the corner count with odds of 1.93.
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