Lugano vs HIK: Conference League Match Prediction
In the opening match of the Conference League, Swiss side Lugano will face Finnish team HJK. The hosts made it into the tournament after being eliminated from the Europa League, while the visitors successfully navigated through two rounds of qualification. Who will claim victory on October 3rd? Check out our prediction for the answer.
Match announcement
Lugano
Current Form
Lugano began in the Champions League qualifiers but failed to advance beyond the initial rounds. After a 3-4 loss at home to Fenerbahce, Mattia Croci-Torti's team was left with little hope, and a 1-2 defeat in Istanbul against the Yellow Canaries was no surprise. In the Europa League, Lugano faced challenges against Partizan, exchanging away victories, but ultimately secured the decisive goal in extra time. However, they lacked the stamina to overcome Besiktas, finishing with results of 3-3 and 1-5.
Injuries and Suspensions
There are no losses in the hosts' squad.
Interesting Betting Trends
- The team has not lost in their last five matches
- At home, they have secured just one victory in five matches
Projected Lineup: Saipi – Valenzuela, Mai, Papadopoulos – Grgic, Doumbia, Dos Santos, Baslimi, Steffen – Aliseda.
HJK
Current Form
HJK faced an unexpected defeat against Lithuanian club Panevėžys at the start of their Champions League qualifiers and subsequently entered the Europa League, where they were eliminated by Dedič. In the Conference League, they encountered Klaksvik, another challenging opponent. They managed to secure a draw 2:2 away with a late equalizer. At home, HJK clinched a 2:1 victory, taking advantage of an opponent's red card, with both goals scored in stoppage time.
Injuries and Suspensions
The Finnish club has no squad issues.
Notable Betting Trends
- HJK has not won in their last three matches
- The team remains unbeaten in their last four away games
Projected Lineup: Ost, O'Shaughnessy, Halm, Lyons-Foster, Kuassivi-Benissan, Moller, Palumets, Koku, Albanese, Plange, Erwin.
Trends
Bet Exact Score 2:1
The home team has won their last two matches with this score
9.50Bet Both Teams to Score
This bet has been successful in 9 of the last 10 home matches
1.75Bet Digit 1 in Final Score
This trend has occurred in five of the last six matches for the visitors
1.83Tip and bets
We favor the home team in this matchup. The Swiss club holds a distinct advantage in skill, as the Swiss league is stronger than the Finnish league. Moreover, the visitors are currently not at their best form. We don’t believe HJK will put up much resistance.
Our prediction is an Asian handicap of (-1) on Lugano at 1.67.
Total Goals Bet
The home team will undoubtedly strive for victory and will play aggressively. Lugano boasts talented players who surpass their opponents in skill and experience, setting the stage for a high-scoring match.
Prediction - total goals over three at odds of 1.85
Corners Bet
In eight out of ten matches, HIK has delivered at least ten corners. Betting on over total corners is a worthwhile option, as both teams are likely to attack frequently.
Prediction — total corners over 9.5 at odds of 1.75