LiontipsAthletic Club vs Sevilla. Betting Predictions (odds 4.00) and Tips for the La Liga Match on September 29, 2024
Command Analysis
Current Form
Within 72 hours of returning to the UEFA Europa League, Athletic Club aims to chase their Champions League dreams after a 3-1 home victory against Celta last weekend, extending their La Liga winning streak to three matches. Manager Ernesto Valverde expressed to reporters that he cannot recall winning three league games in eight days with a Basque team, needing to think back to April 2017 for the last time such success occurred.
Injuries and Suspensions
Unavailable for the match are Simon (wrist injury), Alvarez (muscle injury), and Sunset (muscle injury).
Interesting Betting Trends
San Mames seems to be where Gorka Guruzeta shines, as 14 of his last 17 goals in competitive matches were scored at home.
Athletic has won 14 of their last 22 home matches.
Projected Lineup: Padilla – Rincón, Eguileor, Lekue, Bóyro – Herrera, Canales, Olabar, Gómez - Javier, Williams.
Current Form
The away team heads into this weekend in solid form, although both of their victories came at home against teams fighting for survival. The atmosphere within the club remains upbeat despite a sluggish start to the season. Club president José María del Nido Carrasco informed the players following their triumph over Valladolid (2-1) that head coach García Pimenta and his staff have extended their contracts until 2027. However, a repeat of Sevilla’s 1-2 loss to Alavés in their last away match in La Liga cannot happen again if they wish to stay clear of the relegation zone, especially given their current run of six winless away games in the competition.
Injuries and Suspensions
Unavailable players include Lokonga (muscle injury), Níguez (muscle injury), Romero (ankle injury), Sou (muscle injury), Lukebakio (out of form), and Markao (red card suspension).
Interesting Betting Trends
Sevilla has not won any of their last eight La Liga matches while being underdogs before each game.
The last four goals from Olympic champion Juanlu Sánchez for the club were scored away in draws or victories, including a match against Las Palmas earlier this season.
Expected Lineup: Niland – Sánchez, Nyanzi, Martínez, Pedrosa – Bueno, Carmona, Sou – Lukebakio, Romero.
Trends
Bet Exact Score 1:1
In four of the last six encounters, this score was recorded
6.50Bet Goals in Both Halves – No
In 3 of Atletico's last 5 matches, goals were scored in only one half
1.82Bet Corners: Total Under 9.5
In 3 of the last 5 home games, this bet was successful
1.88Bet Number 1 in the Score
In three of the last six matches, this bet was applicable
1.65Tip and bets
In this match, we expect maximum effort from both teams on every part of the pitch, as each club will aim to reach the opponent's goal as quickly as possible. While creating scoring opportunities may not be their strong suit, both defenses often show weaknesses. Nevertheless, we anticipate that today both teams will at least find the back of the net.
Our prediction is that both teams will score, and we're placing our bet on this at odds of 1.95
Match Outcome Bet
Athletic has a strong home advantage at San Mamés, backed by enthusiastic fans and high motivation. However, after their away match in Italy, the home team may show signs of fatigue, while the visitors face significant player absences. This situation could lead to a balanced contest, suggesting that a draw is a possibility worth considering today.
Prediction - Draw at odds of 4.00
Penalty Bet
The outcome may hinge on VAR, which will determine whether a foul occurs in the penalty area. We anticipate that most action will take place away from the goals, with both teams likely to adopt a cautious approach in their defensive zones.
Prediction - No penalty at odds of 1.25
