LiontipsWolverhampton vs Liverpool: Predictions (Odds 2.10) and Betting Insights for the Premier League Match on September 28, 2024
Command Analysis
Current Form
After five matches, Wolverhampton has gathered only one point and sits at the bottom of the league table. Gary O'Neil is facing intense criticism and is at risk of being dismissed. While it's fair to argue that the schedule has been tough, they could only manage a draw against Nottingham Forest (1:1).
In their last outing, the Wolves played away against Aston Villa, where they took an early lead and held it until the 73rd minute. However, once again, the team collapsed in the final moments, conceding three goals and losing 1:3. Prior to this, they suffered a similar fate at home against Newcastle (1:2). The players simply struggle to maintain their pace for the full 90 minutes and lose concentration.
Additionally, Wolverhampton has already been eliminated from the League Cup, falling 2:3 to Brighton away, once again conceding a late goal.
Injuries and Suspensions
Many of Wolverhampton's struggles are linked to significant player absences, an issue that the head coach has highlighted multiple times. Currently, unavailable due to injuries are Mosquera, Kalajdzic, Gonzalez, Traore, and Mepuiu.
Interesting Betting Trends
- In six of their last eight Premier League matches, Wolverhampton conceded the first goal
- Goals exchanged occurred in seven of the last nine matches involving the Wolves in the league
- Wolverhampton players were caught offside more often than their opponents in four of the last five games
Projected Lineup: Johnstone – Semedo, Bueno, Dawson, Ait-Nuri – Bellegarde, Andre, Gomes, Cunha – Lemina – Strand-Larsen.
Current Form
Liverpool has fully redeemed itself following a surprising defeat in the fourth round to Nottingham Forest (0-1). After that setback, the team secured a confident 3-1 victory against AC Milan away in the Champions League, followed by an impressive 3-0 win over Brighton in the Premier League and a 5-1 triumph against West Ham in the League Cup this week. After the match against the Hammers, Arne Slot noted that the team successfully controls the game through consistent pressing. This is the style of play and ball possession approach that the coach instills in the team.
In the Premier League standings after five rounds, Liverpool sits in second place, just one point behind Manchester City. It is noteworthy that the Merseysiders boast the best defense in the league, allowing only one goal in five matches. Goalkeeper Alisson has played a crucial role in this, consistently performing his duties and rescuing his defenders. Although he missed two matches due to injury, Slot has indicated that he is now fit. Meanwhile, Kelleher also reliably filled in against West Ham.
Disciplinary Actions and Injuries
Elliott will miss today’s match due to injury.
Interesting Betting Trends
- Liverpool has won the shot on target battle in four of their last five matches
- In the last six matches, at least one team has failed to score against Liverpool
- In seven of the last eight matches, Liverpool has scored first
Projected Lineup: Alisson – Alexander-Arnold, Konate, Van Dijk, Robertson – Gravenberch, Mac Allister – Salah, Soboslai, Diaz – Jota.
Trends
Bet Total Corners for Wolves Under 4.5
In their last six home matches, Wolves have not recorded more than four corners
1.52Bet Goals in Both Halves – Yes
In three of the last five home games, goals were scored in both halves
1.47Bet Exact Score 0:3
Liverpool has achieved this score in two of their last four victories
9.00Bet Liverpool to Score in First Half
In four of their last five matches, Liverpool scored in the opening 45 minutes
1.44Bet First Half: Total Goals Under 1.5
This bet has been successful in three of the last five encounters
1.74Tip and bets
This match is unlikely to offer much intrigue. Wolverhampton has been underwhelming in all aspects of their game, consistently struggling to hold leads late in matches and facing numerous roster issues. In contrast, Liverpool has performed nearly flawlessly over their last three games, shutting down opponents' attacks and applying pressure effectively without any significant issues in finishing chances. We anticipate a convincing victory for the visitors.
Our prediction is a Liverpool win with an Asian handicap of -1.5 at odds of 1.86
Betting on Totals
In the first five rounds of the Premier League, Liverpool has conceded only one goal. Arne Slot will likely emphasize defense, and the goalkeepers are performing well. We don't believe the hosts will get many opportunities to score at least one goal today.
Our second bet is on Wolves’ individual total goals being under one, with odds of 1.55.
Betting on Yellow Cards
There’s an intriguing trend regarding yellow cards. In the last 10 home matches, Wolves players have received no more than two yellow cards. This trend presents a good opportunity for bettors with favorable odds.
Our betting tip is for the total yellow cards for Wolves to be under 2.5, with odds of 2.10.
