Liontips
Real Madrid vs Alaves: Predictions and Odds at 4.95
Real Madrid will face Alaves on September 24 in the seventh round of La Liga at their home ground. Last season, the capital club easily claimed points against the Basque side. How well have both teams prepared for this matchup? Our experts have analyzed the contenders’ chances and provided the best betting options for the game. Our star analyst Alexander Mostovoy shares his insights on this upcoming clash.
Command Analysis
Real Madrid
SpainCurrent Form
Real Madrid has shown remarkable form this season, starting with eight unbeaten matches reflecting their significant strength. Los Blancos recently triumphed over Espanyol with a 4-1 victory, and manager Carlo Ancelotti expressed satisfaction with his team's performance, stating they played better than in recent outings. The Italian coach needs this positive momentum to continue as they approach a match against Alaves, just days before the Madrid derby.
This upcoming match marks exactly one year since Real's last league defeat, which came against Atletico, a staggering 38 matches ago. Furthermore, fans will need to look back to April 2023 to find the last time the whites lost at the Santiago Bernabeu in league play. Madrid has won five consecutive encounters against Alaves, with the last three victories coming without conceding, leaving little room for surprises.
Disqualifications and Injuries
Unavailable are Alaba (knee injury), Camavinga (knee injury), Ceballos (ankle injury), and Dias (thigh injury).
Interesting Betting Trends
- Real Madrid has kept a clean sheet in seven of their last eight home matches.
Madrid should be confident of success given the skill and experience of their players, in stark contrast to Alaves, who will struggle to maintain possession away from their opponent's goal.
- Real Madrid has scored before halftime only once in their eight matches this season.
This trend is influenced by their mindset when facing elite European teams, as opponents typically focus heavily on defense. Only a team like Barcelona might attempt to play attacking football against Los Blancos.
- Jude Bellingham from Real directly contributed to three of the five goals in their dominant May encounter.
He scored within the first ten minutes of that match, but notably, ten of his last fourteen goals have come after halftime.
Expected Lineup: Courtois – Modric, Rudiger, Militao, Carvajal – Tchouameni, Valverde, Bellingham, Rodrygo – Mbappe, Vinicius.
Deportivo Alaves
SpainCurrent Form
Alaves recently triumphed in their last head-to-head match in November 2020, and their strong season start has likely instilled a sense of calm confidence among traveling fans. Following a 2-1 victory over Sevilla last weekend, Luis Garcia's squad has accrued ten points in their first six matches, marking their best start in the top flight since the 2018/19 campaign.
The Glorious team finished comfortably mid-table last season, but if they aim to maintain this position, improvement on the road is essential. Their last ten away matches in La Liga have yielded just two wins, with five games in that stretch ending without a goal — not the best omen ahead of their trip to Real Madrid, where they conceded eight unanswered goals in their last two visits.
Suspensions and Injuries
Ovono will be unable to assist his team due to injury.
Interesting Betting Trends
- Nauel Tenaglia of Alaves has contributed to goals in two consecutive matches
Adding to the hope, four of his five goals for the club have come in away matches.
- Alaves has lost the last two head-to-head matches without scoring
Furthermore, not only did Real deny the guests any chances, but they also dismantled the visiting defense, which has conceded eight goals.
Projected Lineup: Sivera – Ortiz, Villaribre, Pica, Jay – Gevara, Blanco, Benavides, Romero, Rioja – Garcia.
Trends
Bet Exact Score 3:0
This score has been recorded in two of the last four head-to-head matches
6.50Bet Goals in both halves – Yes
In 3 of the last 5 matches, Real scored goals in both halves
1.82Bet Corners: Total under 9.5
In 3 of the last 5 home matches, this bet was successful
1.88Bet Number 3 in the score
This bet has been successful in three of the last six matches
1.65Tip and bets
The home team has an impressive record that is unlikely to be challenged today. We believe the visitors have no chance since Real Madrid is in top form and cannot afford any mistakes that could cost them the championship title. Additionally, the caliber of players and the coaching staff will play a crucial role, ensuring a convincing victory for the whites.
Our prediction is an Asian handicap of (-2) on Real Madrid at 1.98
Ставка на тотал
В этой игре Мадриду нужно выигрывать с комфортной разницей в счете, ведь игра дома и победа в один мяч над командой, которая на две головы слабее по всем линиям, может быть неправильно воспринята окружением. Кроме того, мы считаем, что в этой дуэли никаких сюрпризов не будет и фаворит добьется убедительного успеха.
Прогноз — победа «Реала» Мадрид в три гола и ставим на это за 4.95
Ставка на угловые
Скорее всего, обилие атак и желание пробиться к воротам могут принести много стандартных положений. Тем не менее, мы ждем движение в одну сторону и рассчитываем, что Мадрид больше девяти угловых не подаст.
Прогноз — тотал угловых меньше девяти. Такой вариант можно найти за 1.94
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