LiontipsGetafe vs Leganes. Prediction and bets on the match of the Spanish championship
Command Analysis
Current form
Without a win since April and at the Coliseum since March, Getafe will be looking to secure their first three points for a sixth time when they host newly promoted Leganes on Sunday. Los Azulones scored for the second time this season in their 2-1 defeat to Real Betis on Wednesday but have yet to find the net at home in the 2024/25 competition and, worryingly, the hosts have recorded just one shot on target in those two encounters. The defeat to Betis dropped manager José Bordalás’ win percentage below 30 per cent in his second spell at Getafe and he still managed to pick up a 92nd-minute red card.
Injuries and disqualifications
Aberdeen (injury) and Rodriguez (ankle injury) will be out.
Interesting trends for betting
- Getafe have failed to score before or after the break in any of their last nine home games.
- Getafe's Mauro Arambarri scored his team's second goal of the season on Wednesday and lost only once against Leganes, while also having a goal and an assist in his six head-to-head appearances
Estimated line-up : Soria - Alderte, Djene, Iguesias Sanchez - Sola, Santiago, Mila, Rivera, Alena - Gomez, Uche.
Current form
Leganés have made an impressive start to their return to the top flight, picking up five points from their opening three games against Osasuna, Las Palmas and Valladolid, the latter of whom they beat for the Segunda title at the start of June. Things have not been as smooth since, with the Pepineros failing to score or pick up points following defeats to Mallorca, Real Betis and Athletic. Coach Borja Jimenez is well aware that he needs to improve at both ends of the pitch ahead of this clash, particularly in defence, where he will need to rely on more stamina.
Disqualifications and injuries
Garcia (injury) and Neyou (muscle injury) will not be able to take to the football field.
Interesting trends for betting
- Los Pepineros reached the 74th and 65th minutes of their last two games with the score tied at 0-0 before conceding twice in both games.
- Juan Cruz has scored two of Leganes' three goals this campaign and has not been on the losing side when he has scored since 2021/22
Estimated line-up : Soriano - Lopez, Brsanac, Cisse, Cruz - de la Fuente, Garcia, Gonzalez, Guairo - Hernandez, Raba.
Trends
Bet Exact score 2:1
The teams finished two of their last eight head-to-head championship matches with this score.
9.55Bet Goals in both halves - no
In 2 of the last 4 matches of the guests this type of bet took place
2.15Bet Corners: Total Under 9.5
This betting option has taken place in 3 of Getafe's last 5 matches
1.99Penalty bet - yes
Penalties have been awarded in two of the hosts' last six matches
2.55Tip and bets
We believe that this match can hardly be recommended for evening viewing, because not the best teams of the Spanish championship will take to the field. Nevertheless, passions are expected to heat up, and we expect that both clubs are capable of not only taking control of the game, but also reaching the opponent's goal. Most likely, we should not expect a fairy tale of goals, but we expect active attacking football and an exchange of goals.
Our prediction is both will score and we are betting on it with odds of 2.63
Bet on the outcome
The visitors have little chance of winning, while Getafe plays very strongly at their home Coliseum, where the team will have serious support. In addition, the league newcomer, despite a successful start, looks rather weak and is unlikely to be able to hold back the onslaught of the capital. We assume that the Blues will be able to succeed.
Prediction: Getafe win and we bet on it with odds of 2.15
Bet on a penalty
Most likely, everything can be decided by VAR, which will find a violation in the penalty area, which will decide the outcome of the confrontation. Moreover, in two of the last five face-to-face matches, a kick from 11 meters was awarded.
Betting Tip - penalty (yes) for 2.55
