LiontipsAlaves vs. Sevilla. Prediction (odds 3.90) and bets on the Spanish Championship match
Command Analysis
Current form
Alaves have had their best start to a La Liga season in six years, but manager Luis Garcia is urging fans not to get too carried away despite their impressive form. The head coach has seen his side pick up seven points from their opening five games, but after 14 new faces arrived at Mendizorroza this summer, he says his squad is still coming together, and admits the build-up has been “tough”.
Garcia was speaking after https://www.deportivoalaves.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">the Glorious Ones suffered a 3-2 defeat at Espanyol on Saturday, a result that followed successive wins over Las Palmas and Real Sociedad. The coach and fans will be hoping their side can return to winning ways against Sevilla, who they overcame for the first league double in almost 70 years last season, after failing to take the lead in any of their previous 10 encounters.
Disqualifications and injuries
Novoa Ramos will not be able to help his team (heel injury)
Interesting trends for betting
- Alaves' Quique Garcia loves playing against Sevilla, having scored five goals against them in 15 head-to-head encounters
In addition, in all the matches in which he scored, his team won, so this player will be the main hope of the coach and fans.
- Last season, Alaves beat Sevilla twice in the Spanish championship
What is noteworthy is that this achievement was the first for the “glorious” in the last 70 years.
Probable lineup : Sivera - Ortiz, Villaribre, Pica, Jay - Guevara, Blanco, Benavides, Romero, Rioja - Garcia.
Current form
The visitors will go into this game hoping to avoid making unwanted history, having never lost three in a row to Alaves. They should make the long journey north with at least some confidence restored, having finally picked up their first win of the season last weekend when a shaky 1-0 win at Getafe ended a four-game winless streak.
It was also the first win for new manager García Pimienta, something he admitted was “much needed” after his arrival in the summer. He will now be looking to secure a rare away win for Sevilla, who have won just four away league games since the start of the 2023/24 campaign thanks to draws against Las Palmas and Mallorca this season, including a current run of five without a win.
Disqualifications and injuries
Lokong, Barco and Bade are out of action due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Sevilla have not won a single league match in which they conceded the first goal
The streak has already stretched out since March 2023, including both defeats to today's hosts last season.
- Veteran Jesus Navas became Sevilla's oldest goalscorer in the match against Getafe last round
- Sevilla are on a five-game away streak without a win
This is what worries the coach the most, although last season the Nervionites started the game as pre-match favorites
Probable line-up : Nyland - Sanchez, Niangzou, Martinez, Pedrosa - Bueno, Carmona, Sow - Lukebakio, Romero.
Trends
Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In the last three head-to-head matches, goals were scored in each half
1.76Bet Exact score 1:2
Two of the last ten head-to-head matches ended with this score
12.55Bet Corners: Total Under 9.5
This betting option has taken place in 2 of Alaves' last 4 matches
1.99Bet Penalty - no
In four of the last six head-to-head matches, no penalties were awarded
1.25Tip and bets
Both teams are worthy of each other and will try to break through to the opponent's goal from the first minutes. The hosts will try to build on their success, while having serious support from the home stands. The guests are in a difficult situation, while the "Nervionites" are unlikely to be inferior to their opponents in terms of composition. We expect that the opponents will go forward from the first minutes in search of happiness. We expect an abundance of dangerous moments and an exchange of goals.
Our prediction is both will score and we are betting on it at odds of 1.95
Bet on the outcome
The hosts are considered favourites in this match, which is the exclusive merit of the southerners. We believe that Sevilla is capable of a feat today - we expect that in this game the guests will be able to prove their class and take revenge for two fiascos last year. We assume a victory for the guests.
Prediction: Sevilla win at 3.90
Bet on a red card
Both clubs can compensate for the lack of technique and speed with foul tactics, which will ultimately help and bring an abundance of violations. In addition, three red cards were shown in the last three head-to-head matches.
Prediction - red card (yes) for 3.95
