LiontipsAthletic - Atletico. Betting Tip (odds 4.20) and bets on the match of the Spanish championship
Command Analysis
Current form
After failing to win their first two league games of the campaign for the first time since 2021, Athletic Bilbao secured a hard-fought 1-0 win at Valencia this week. That's good news as they look to improve on their impressive fifth-place finish last season and can now play without the distraction of transfer speculation as the window closes on Friday night. Atletico are tough opponents, but not for Bilbao, who have won four of their last five head-to-head encounters.
Injuries and disqualifications
Ruiz de Galarreta (calf injury), Simon (wrist injury), Berrichie (shoulder injury) and Paredas (muscle injury) will be out today.
Interesting trends for betting
- Athletic Bilbao midfielder Beñat Prados scored his side's first winning goal of the season in midweek but has been booked in two of their three games in 2024/25
- Athletic have won four of their last five home games
- Bilbao have never drawn in this tournament
Probable lineup : Padilla - Rincon, Egueluz, Lecue, Boiro - Herrera, Canales, Olabar, Gomez - Javier, Williams.
Current form
Atletico have started their league campaign strongly, scoring five goals in their three league games and keeping two clean sheets heading into this weekend. However, turning draws into wins will be crucial if they are to upset those at the top of La Liga, although they have had a summer of upheaval with big names such as Conor Gallagher and Julian Alvarez yet to make their mark. Away play should not be too much of a concern for Diego Simeone’s side after they extended their winning run on the road to four league games by avoiding defeat at Villarreal.
Disqualifications and injuries
Lemar is out of the game (injury).
Interesting trends for betting
- Five of Atletico's eight head-to-head defeats have come in recent meetings
- Atletico captain Koke loves playing against Athletic, having provided more assists against them than any other team in his career
Estimated line-up : Moldovan – Azpilitueta, Normand, Witsel, Lino – Koke, de Paul, Llorente, Riquelmy – Griezmann, Sorloth.
Trends
Bet Exact score 1:1
Four of the last six head-to-head matches have seen this score
6.50Bet Goals in both halves – no
In 3 of Athletic's last 5 matches, goals were scored in the same half
1.82Bet Corners: Total Under 9.5
In 3 of the last 5 matches of the hosts such a bet took place
1.88Bet Number 1 in the score
In three of the last six matches this bet has played out
1.65Tip and bets
The opponents have approximately equal chances of success, and will try to win, for which they need to go forward and score. We believe that today both clubs are capable of success and will try to use all their strength in attack, while both teams are quite good at destruction. Most likely, today everything can be decided by 1-2 goals scored, which is what we will bet on.
Our betting tip is total under 2.5 goals and we bet on it with odds of 1.85
Bet on the outcome
The visitors have a good chance of winning, and Athletic are playing very well at their home ground San Mames, where the team will have serious support. However, six of the last eight head-to-head encounters have ended in a draw, which we expect today. In addition, we believe that such an option would suit everyone. Madrid is a traditional favorite in matches with such opponents, but this is only the beginning of a long journey - the players' motivation may fail.
Betting Tip - draw with odds of 4.20
Bet on a penalty
Most likely, everything can be decided by VAR, which will find a violation in the penalty area, which will decide the outcome of the confrontation. Moreover, in two of the last five face-to-face matches, a kick from 11 meters was awarded.
Betting Tip - penalty (yes) for 2.55
