LiontipsArsenal vs Brighton. Prediction (odds 3.55) and bets on the Premier League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Arsenal immediately joined the championship race and did not lose a single point in two rounds, beating Wolverhampton at home and Aston Villa away with the same score 2:0. They managed to keep a clean sheet in defense not only thanks to the play of the defenders, but it is also worth noting the contribution of goalkeeper David Raya, whom Mikel Arteta praised after the game with the Birmingham team.
Regarding the Londoners' play, we note that they are in no hurry, calmly pressing their opponents, and waiting for mistakes somewhere. In addition, the players are perfectly prepared physically at the start of the season - it is no coincidence that the Gunners scored three of their four goals after the break. The team's play is also positively affected by the fact that the roster is already well-coordinated, as such there were no serious changes in the off-season.
Among the minor minuses, we note that Arsenal often plays high in defense, giving opponents chances to counterattack. In fact, we were lucky to play to zero against Aston Villa, as the Birmingham team had several excellent moments, but did not use their chances.
Disqualifications and injuries
Gabriel Jesus, Tierney and Tomiyasu are injured.
Interesting trends for betting
- Arsenal have scored at least two goals in seven of their last eight Premier League games
- The Gunners have kept clean sheets in nine of their last 12 Premier League matches
- Arsenal have won nine of their last 10 home league games
Tentative line-up : David Raya - William Saliba, Jurrien Timber, Gabriel Magalhaes, Ben White - Martin Odegaard, Thomas Partey, Declan Rice - Bukayo Saka, Kai Havertz, Gabriel Martinelli.
Current form
Brighton changed their coach in the off-season and there were certain expectations and doubts about how confidently Fabian Hürzeler would play his first official matches. Six points scored in two rounds clearly removed all concerns and some not very optimistic betting tips.
The Seagulls started with a 3-0 away win over Fulham. There, of course, the advantage was noticeable, the opponent was clearly not fully prepared for the start of the season. In the second round, Brighton dealt with Manchester United (2-1) on their home field. This time, they managed to snatch three points only in stoppage time thanks to a goal by Joao Pedro. As for the match, we note that Fabian Hürzeler's charges put a lot of pressure on their opponents, switched from defense to attack well and quickly, and the victory was well deserved. In general, the attack has been doing well so far, as evidenced by the five goals scored - only Manchester City and Chelsea have more after two rounds.
https://www.brightonandhovealbion.com/pages/en/home" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Brighton made a successful start to the League Cup this week, beating Crawley Town 4-0 at home with class.
Disqualifications and injuries
March is injured and will not play today.
Interesting trends for betting
- In the four previous matches, including friendlies, Brighton have always won the first half with a clean sheet
- Brighton's last seven Premier League games have seen three or fewer goals scored
- Taking into account friendly sparring matches, the Seagulls won all seven matches played
Probable line-up : Jason Steele – Jan Paul van Hecke, Joel Veltman, Lewis Dunk, Jack Hinshelwood – James Milner, Billy Gilmour – Yankuba Minthe, Joao Pedro Jesus, Kaoru Mitoma – Danny Welbeck.
Trends
Brighton to score in first half
Brighton have scored in the opening 45 minutes of their last four matches
2.90Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In three of the last five head-to-head matches, goals were scored in each half
1.52Bet Exact score 1:1
Brighton's last two draws have had this scoreline
9.60Bet Total corners over 10.5
In the two previous head-to-head encounters, more than 10 corners were awarded.
1.85Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
The bet was successful in all matches involving Arsenal and Brighton in the opening rounds
1.62Tip and bets
Brighton impressed with their play in friendly matches and built on their success in official matches. The Seagulls will do a lot in attack, they manage to take advantage of their chances. Arsenal were also good in the two opening rounds, but the same Aston Villa could have scored. We believe that it will not be easy for the Gunners against the well-organized Seagulls, and if they manage to win, it will hardly be with an advantage of more than one goal.
Our prediction is a Brighton win with an Asian handicap (+1.5) at odds of 1.90
Bet on total
Arsenal have not conceded a single goal in two rounds, Brighton only failed in the game against Manchester United, allowing the opponent to score once. In addition, in the three previous face-to-face matches, more than three goals were not scored. Accordingly, we recommend a betting tip for the total under.
The second bet is total under 3.5 goals with odds of 1.61
Combined rate
Considering that we are expecting an equal and tough game today, in which both teams are capable of playing reliably in defense, it would be logical to try to play the combination bet option with a high coefficient on the underdog.
Prediction - Brighton will not lose and total under 4.5 goals with odds of 3.55
