LiontipsAthletic - Valencia. Betting Tip (odds 3.90) and bets on the match of the Spanish championship
Command Analysis
Current form
Athletic start the third round winless, having drawn 1-1 with Getafe on the opening day before failing to cope with Barcelona (1-2). Ernesto Valverde remained upbeat after the defeat to his former employers, claiming his side were “doing well” despite their winless start. Luck may have played a part as the Lions were forced to use third-choice goalkeeper Alex Padilla at the Camp Nou following minor injuries to Unai Simon and Julen Aguirrezabala.
Injuries and disqualifications
Ruiz de Galarreta (calf injury), Simon (wrist injury), Ares (bruise), Williams (muscle injury) and Serrano (hip injury) will be out.
Interesting trends for betting
- Oyhan Sunset hit the ground running, scoring first-half goals in both of Athletic's league games this season - his goals in back-to-back games coming in 2022/23.
- Athletic have not lost two consecutive league games since May 2023
- The Basque club have not suffered a defeat in La Liga at home for more than 12 months
Estimated lineup : Padilla - Rincon, Egueluz, Lecue, Boiro - Herrera, Canales, Olabar, Gomez - Javier, Williams.
Current form
Valencia almost ended the hosts’ unbeaten run last October when they were denied a 2-1 win by Alex Berenguer’s 97th-minute equaliser. The Bats exacted revenge in the return leg, winning 1-0 to snap a five-game winless streak in their home fixtures. Manager Ruben Baraja would welcome another such result as his side seek to secure their first three points of the 2024/25 season and end a worrying nine-game winless run in the league.
Disqualifications and injuries
Castillejo (injury), Diakhaby (knee injury), Domenech (muscle injury), Gaja (muscle injury), Canos (calf injury) and Perez (injury) will not be able to play today.
Interesting trends for betting
- Valencia have scored more than one goal in only one of their last ten head-to-head encounters.
- The Orange have gone the entire league campaign without a single away win against any team that also finished in the top 10.
Estimated lineup : Mamardashvili - Vazquez, Tarrega, Garciorovsky, Correa - Almeida, Guillaumont, Pepelu, Tejon - Duro, Mir.
Trends
Bet Exact score 1:1
The teams finished 2 of the last 8 head-to-head matches of the championship with this score
9.55Bet Goals in both halves - no
In 2 of the last 4 matches of the guests this type of bet took place
2.15Bet Corners: Total under 9.5
This betting option has taken place in 3 of the last 5 Atletico matches
1.99Penalty bet - yes
Tip and bets
Today we expect active football, despite the midweek. Both clubs are approximately equal in strength and are capable of achieving success, for which they simply need to gather their strength and move forward. Most likely, the quality of the defense will allow the opponents to reach the opponent's goal, which is what we are counting on.
Our prediction is both will score and we are betting on it with odds of 2.32
Bet on the outcome
Athletic plays very strongly at their home stadium San Mames, where the team will have serious support. In addition, we should not forget that Valencia has always been a principled opponent for the Basques. Nevertheless. We do not see a clear favorite and will give preference to a peaceful outcome, which will please and ultimately suit, probably, everyone.
Betting Tip - draw with odds of 3.90
Bet on a penalty
Most likely, everything can be decided by VAR, which will find a violation in the penalty area, which will decide the outcome of the confrontation. Moreover, in two of the last five face-to-face matches, a kick from 11 meters was awarded.
Betting Tip - penalty (yes) for 2.55
