LiontipsWolfsburg vs Bayern. Prediction and bets on the Bundesliga match
Command Analysis
Current form
At the end of the last season, Wolfsburg took only 12th place. This is a noticeable step back from the previous eighth position. Moreover, they scored a modest 37 points - the worst result since the 2017/18 season. The "wolves" could have fought for survival until the last rounds, but the arrival of Ralph Hasenhüttl as head coach helped, under whom they managed to stabilize the game and results.
The main loss of the off-season was the departure of Koen Casteels, who had been the club's goalkeeper for ten years. His place will be taken by Kamil Grabara from Copenhagen. We note the appearance of striker Mohamed Amourou and young midfielder Bence Dardai in the squad. Also expected to join the team is the Greek talent Konstantinos Koulierakis, who will join from PAOK as soon as the club completes its performance in the European Cup qualification.
In friendly matches, Wolfsborg was not particularly stable, winning only one of four matches. Moreover, in the 1/32 finals of the German Cup, they only managed to beat modest Koblenz away with a minimal score of 1:0.
Disqualifications and injuries
The team has a decent list of injured players, which includes Nmecha, Rogerio, Amour, Paredes, Bialek, Mele, Behrens, Vrankx, Odogu.
Interesting trends for betting
- Wolfsburg have not ended in a draw in 11 Bundesliga matches.
- Five of Wolves' last six home league games have seen at least three goals scored.
Estimated line-up : Grabara – Lacroix, Zesiger, Bornau – Baku, Gerhardt, Arnold, Kaminski – Mayer, Wimmer – Wind.
Current form
For 11 years, Bayern had no equal in the Bundesliga, but last season they finished only in third place. And this despite the fact that they scored the most goals in the championship, as usual – 94.
Of course, such a failure could not pass without a trace. Thomas Tuchel left, and Vincent Kompany , who worked with Burnley, was appointed in his place. Among the most significant transfers, we note that the club parted ways with defenders Matthijs de Ligt and Noussair Mazraoui, and forward Michael Oliseh, midfielder Joao Palhinha and defender Hiroki Ito arrived.
In friendly matches, the renewed Bayern under Kompany looked good – five wins and only one draw. In the Cup in the 1/32 finals, there were no problems with Ulm (4:0).
Disqualifications and injuries
Buchmann, Ito, Stanisic, Sane and Peretz are injured and will not play today.
Interesting trends for betting
- Bayern have not drawn in their last ten Bundesliga matches.
- Goals have been exchanged in 10 of the Munich team's last 13 league games.
Probable line-up : Neuer - Boe, Kim, Upamecano, Guerreiro - Palhinha, Kimmich - Gnabry, Musiala, Thel - Kane.
Trends
Bet Wolfsburg to score in the first half
In two of the last three head-to-head meetings, Wolfsburg scored goals in the opening 45 minutes
2.43Bet 1st half: total over 1.5 goals
The bet has played in five previous face-to-face matches
2.10Bet Exact score 1:3
Bayern have won three of their last four head-to-head matches with a two-goal advantage
10.50Tip and bets
Taking into account all the transfers , Bayern has clearly not become weaker. In the off-season, the Munich team worked hard at training camps in friendly matches under Kompany, in attack there is simply a huge selection of different options, which Ulm has already felt in the Cup. It is unlikely that the unstable Wolfsburg, which lost in the last four head-to-head matches, will be able to counter the favorite.
Our prediction is a victory for Bayern with an Asian handicap (-1) at odds of 1.72
Bet on total
It is unlikely that we should expect a closed game, given the strength of Bayern's attack. Moreover, in the ten previous face-to-face matches, only three times were fewer than three goals scored.
The second bet is total over three goals with odds of 1.67
Bet on the first half
Let's pay attention to the fact that in the last seven head-to-head matches, Bayern showed its advantage at the start and won at the end of the first half. We expect the same scenario to develop today.
Prediction: Bayern win in the first half with odds of 1.87
