LiontipsMainz - Union. Betting Tip (odds 2.25) and bets on the Bundesliga match
Command Analysis
Current form
Only thanks to a strong finish, Mainz managed to avoid relegation or play-offs. They managed to score nine points in the last five rounds, which allowed them to finish in 13th place. It should be noted that the Carnival players played noticeably better at home than away, scoring 23 of the total 35 points.
On the eve of the start of the new season, one of the attacking leaders Bryan Gruda moved to Brighton. Striker Ludovic Ajorque and midfielder Leandro Barreiro left the team. Among the new additions, we note the young forward of Bayern Armindo Ziba and Japanese midfielder Kaisha Sano.
Mainz looked good in friendly matches – three wins in four matches. In addition, they managed to get to the 1/16 finals of the German Cup, beating Wehen in extra time (3:1).
Disqualifications and injuries
Widmer's appearance on the field today is in question.
Interesting trends for betting
- Mainz are currently on a nine-match unbeaten run in the Bundesliga.
- In five of the team's last six matches in the championship, there was an exchange of goals scored.
Tentative line-up : Zentner - Kor, Leitsch, Hanche-Olsen - Kasi, Amiri, Sano, Mwene - Lee, Zieb - Burkardt.
Current form
Union disappointed their fans last season, as they showed their worst result since joining the Bundesliga. The Berliners finished only in 15th place and were fighting for survival until the last round. They managed to beat Freiburg (2:1) in the final game, scoring the decisive goal in the 92nd minute. The main problems were related to the attack – only 33 goals scored (only Cologne did worse, hitting the opponents’ goal 28 times).
The failures led to a change of coach, Bo Svensson, who previously coached Mainz, prepared the team for the new season. Tom Rothe, Leopold Querfeld and Laszlo Benes joined the club. Alex Kral and Aissa Lajduni left the club. These are the most significant transfers, it is difficult to judge how much the changes will positively affect the game and results.
In friendly matches, Union showed itself to be unstable – two wins, two draws and one defeat. At the same time, in the 1/32 finals of the Cup, it managed to beat modest Greifswald away with a minimal score of 1:0.
Disqualifications and injuries
Volland, Roussillon and Juranovic are injured and will not play today.
Interesting trends for betting
- Union have failed to win in seven of their last eight league matches.
- The Berliners have not won in their last five Bundesliga away games.
Estimated line-up : Rennow - Ducky, Vogt, Leite - Trimmel, Schafer, Khedira, Gosens - Benes, Hollerbach, Vertessen.
Trends
Bet: Mainz to win on corners
Mainz have taken more corners than their opponents in 10 of their last 12 Bundesliga home games
1.52Bet 1st half: Mainz will score
Mainz players have scored goals in the opening 45 minutes in three of their last five matches
1.87Bet Exact score 3:1
The hosts' last two victories were won with this score
18.00Tip and bets
Bookmakers deservedly give the advantage to Mainz in the upcoming match. We have a typical home team, which scores most of its points at the Meva Arena. Plus, Union has undergone serious changes, it clearly still needs time for the team to become more cohesive, for the players to accept the new coach's game philosophy.
Our prediction is a victory for Mainz with odds of 2.12
Bet on total
In friendly matches, Mainz showed itself well in attack, and managed to score three goals against Montpellier. The renewed Union is unlikely to be able to reliably play at its own gates today.
The second bet is the individual total of goals for Mainz over 1.5 with odds of 2.25
Betting on yellow cards
Let's note one promising trend for betting according to statistics. Mainz players received at least two yellow cards in 10 of the last 11 home matches in the Bundesliga, which we do not rule out today.
Prediction - total yellow cards for Mainz over 1.5 with odds of 1.70
