LiontipsEnergie vs Werder. Prediction and bets on the German Cup match
Command Analysis
Current form
The team took first place in the Regional League for the second year in a row, but only now received promotion. The club could not achieve this for five years. Now they have a difficult task - to gain a foothold in professional football. Few can withstand such a transition. Advancing to at least the second round of the Cup can greatly help financially. The club has not conquered the current stage in the last 10 years. Then the team played the first match away, because it was in a higher division than the opponent. Now it is difficult to imagine such a thing.
The pre-season started promisingly. After quiet victories over lesser-known teams, Energie hosted Hertha at its stadium and the match ended in a draw (2:2). But the success could not be consolidated. Another draw and then only defeats, including the two opening rounds in the third league. The season began with a defeat to Arminia (1:2) and continued with a rout in the away derby with Dynamo Dresden (4:2).
Interesting trends for betting
- Energie have won with a handicap of (+1.5) at home in 12 matches in a row.
- The club are unbeaten at home in nine of their last 10 matches.
Tentative line-up : Bethke - Rohrig, Kampulka, Kusic, Borgmann - Hofmann, Putze - Pronichev, Chigerci, Halbauer - Thiele
Current form
"Werder" seems to have found stability. Head coach Ole Werner returned the club to the elite, and now he has secured them in the middle of the table. If they had managed to get one more point, the team would have represented Germany in the Conference League. Very pleasant progress in the championship. But in the Cup they are unexpectedly failing, and not for the first year. Last season they lost to "Victoria" from Cologne in the 1/32 finals 2:3 in the end.
In the off-season, friendly matches were held with world-famous teams. They managed to win only once out of five friendly matches, beating Coventry City (2:1). The Bremen team was not hopeless at all. They looked no worse than their opponents in terms of play. So, it is not worth drawing conclusions based only on the score of the matches. The newcomer in attack, Keke Topp, immediately began to show himself. He scored two goals.
Interesting trends for betting
- Werder have conceded in 11 of their last 12 matches
- The club have scored fewer than three goals away from home in 20 of their last 21 matches
Tentative line-up : Zetterer – Veljkovic, Jung, Friedl – Weiser, Bittencourt, Stage, Agu, Schmidt – Duksch, Grüll
Trends
Bet Exact score 1:2
The last face-to-face meeting between the opponents saw the following score
9.50Bet 1st half: draw
In the last two matches, the visitors had a draw in the first half
2.55Bet 2nd half: "Energy" will score
In 1 of the last 3 games, Werder conceded in the second half
2.15Tip and bets
Werder have conceded in the last seven out of eight DFB Cup rounds of 32. The visitors have reached the semi-finals several times, but the start has almost always been less than ideal. In the off-season, the team also failed to keep a clean sheet in all six games. Energie, in turn, scored in both championship matches. Let's not forget that the teams scored against each other in their last face-to-face encounter.
Prediction: both teams will score with odds of 1.70
Bet on the outcome
Bookmakers this time also do not consider "Energy" a hopeless extra. This is despite the fact that the team had a bad start in the third division. "Musicians" are still clear favorites, and it is worth starting from this. The guests will almost certainly come out with the lineup with which they will start the championship. There should be no bad mood. We believe that the Bremen team will win.
Betting Tip - Asian handicap (-1) for Werder with odds of 1.70
Bet on total
The visitors will certainly strive to win and are unlikely to play too cautiously, and the club has excellent attacking players who are superior in class and experience to their opponents. It is worth counting on a goal extravaganza, since the hosts have finished three of the five matches with a total over.
Betting Tip - total over 3.5 goals with odds of 2.25
