LiontipsItaly vs Nigeria. Predictions and Betting Tips for Summer Olympics
Command Analysis
Italy national team lost the second round match to Australia by only three points (83:86). Both teams played very offensively in this game. First and last quarter ended with a draw. Other half of the match was won by Oceanian team.
Because of a win over Germany in the first match, Italy is the second team of the group after Australia. So far Australia is the only team of the group with a guaranteed play-off spot.
Only four teams failed to record a victory on the Olympic tournament so far. Nigeria is one of them. In the second round African team was considered a favourite of the match against Germany. It was a tie game before the fourth quarter.
In the last ten minutes German players outscored their opponent (25:18) and won the match as a result (99:92). African team is currently lying at the bottom of Group B standings.
Trends
СтавкаNigeria: total under 85,5 points
Nigeria averages less than 80 points per game
СтавкаItaly: total under 93,5 points
Italy never scored more than 93 points on the Olympics
СтавкаItaly to win the fourth quarter
Nigeria lost the fourth quarter in both matches of the tournament
Tip and bets
Level of the opponents should be judged by their performance against the leader of the group. Nigeria lost the match against Australia by 17 points, while Italy was close to a victory and was beaten only by three points. If they will win, Europeans will almost guarantee a play-off spot for themselves. We are expecting a victory from the Italians with at least 8-point margin.
Our prediction - Italy to win with a handicap of (-7,5) points
In our opinion, total is too high for that match. We expect Africans to score a little over 70 points and Europeans - 80. In this case, teams won't be able to get close to 174 points.
Our second bet is on total under 174,5 points
