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Tampa Bay returns home after a successful away series and continues to be among the leaders of the Atlantic Division. Detroit is in a completely different position, having suffered five defeats in a row. Our betting tip takes into account the difference in the current state of the teams, and the main bet assumes the victory of the hosts with an advantage of at least two goals
Command Analysis
Tampa Bay Lightning
Brandon Hagel became the main character of the Lightning's last meeting against Columbus, which ended in a 3-1 victory. The striker scored a double and added an assist, and Jake Guentzel scored the decisive goal at the beginning of the third period. Nikita Kucherov assisted his teammates twice, while goalkeeper Dennis Hildeby blocked 28 shots. John Cooper's team was particularly successful in the final twenty minutes, in which they took advantage of the opponent's mistakes twice.
Before that, Tampa Bay defeated Buffalo (8:3), with Kucherov scoring a natural hat trick. In the last five meetings, the club has won four times, losing only to Winnipeg (3:4). The Lightning won all eight matches of the current championship on their own court. At the same time, the team continues to perform without the injured Braden Point, and the participation of Anthony Cirelli and Eric Chernak remains questionable. Despite the personnel difficulties, the attack remains highly effective.
Detroit Red Wings
The loss of concentration in the final period turned into another painful defeat for the Red Wings. In the meeting with Florida, Todd McLellan's team led 4-1 thanks to goals from J.T. Comfer, Andreas Englund, Lucas Raymond and Marco Kasper. However, then the opponent scored four goals in a row and achieved a 5-4 victory. It was especially unpleasant that the decisive goal was conceded less than three minutes before the final siren.
Detroit lost five matches in a row, and before the trip to Florida, they lost to St. Louis (2:3), Colorado (0:4), Vegas (1:2) and Tampa Bay itself (2:4). The main problem remains the lack of stability in the attack, although Kasper's return should add opportunities to the team. Raymond continues to participate in most of the dangerous attacks, while Moritz Seider does a lot of defensive work. But mistakes while maintaining the advantage and poor implementation regularly prevent guests from scoring points.
The last face-to-face meeting of the teams took place on November 3 and ended with a victory for Tampa Bay with a score of 4:2. Now the hosts have good opportunities to repeat this result. The Lightning are confident at home and have several dangerous links capable of creating pressure throughout the match. The first three with Kucherov, Hagel and Gunzel stand out especially. Detroit regularly makes mistakes defending its own zone, and the failure against Florida showed how difficult it is for the team to maintain concentration under prolonged pressure.
An additional advantage of the owners is the reliability of the last frontier. Hildeby performed well against Columbus, and the fielders effectively limited the opponent's opportunities. Detroit needs to not only fix its own defense, but also find ways to improve its performance. It won't be easy to do that against the current Tampa Bay. We are counting on a confident victory for the hosts with a difference of at least two goals.
Our prediction is that Tampa Bay will win with a handicap of (-1.5) goals in 2.10
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