Belgium vs Italy: betting tip (cf 2.17) and bets on the Nations League match

Command Analysis

Current form
The Belgians have a good chance of winning one of the top two places in the group and advancing to the quarterfinals. The national team is in third place in the standings with nine points in the asset, but it is only one point behind the leader of the Italian quartet. So a victory will give the Red Devils a direct ticket to the playoffs. At the tournament, Marco van Bomel's team scored three wins and two losses, while scoring eight goals.
In the last confrontation, Belgium met with Turkey and was able to win a strong-willed victory. The Turks opened the scoring in the match, but the team turned the game around and scored two goals in the first half. The balls played by Kevin De Bruyne and Charles DeCetelare brought victory to the red devils with a score of 2:1. Earlier, the national team lost to France (4:1).
Disqualifications and injuries
Openda, Debast, Onana and Salemakers will not play due to injury, while Courtois, de Winter and Fernandez-Pardo are out of the squad.
Interesting betting trends
- Belgium scores 1.6 goals on average in the tournament.
- In the last five face-to-face matches, the Red Devils have won against Italy just once.
Approximate line–up: Lammens – Castagne, Mechele, Ngoy, de Cape Lavia, Raskin – Moreira, De Bruyne, Doku De Ketelare.

Current form
The Italians are doing well in the League of Nations and have suffered only one defeat in five rounds. Squadra azzurra lost to Belgium 0:2 in the first round on her own field and after that she was able to earn 10 points, which allow her to be in first place in the standings. The gap from France is just additional indicators. Italy is the most productive team in its group with 13 goals scored.
In the last round, Roberto Mancini's men won 3-1 against the French national team. The score was opened by the guests in the 10th minute, but the Italians turned the game around and were able to hit the opponent's goal three times. Inter Milan striker Francesco Esposito scored a double in this match, while his brother Sebastiano failed to convert a penalty in the 60th minute of the match.
Disqualifications and injuries
Locatelli, Spinazzola, Buongiorno, D. Mancini, Di Lorenzo, Zaccagni, Raspadori, Ruggeri and Frattesi will miss the game due to injuries.
Interesting betting trends
- The Italian national team scores 2.6 goals on average in the tournament.
- Squadra Azzurra earn two yellow cards on average in the League of Nations
Approximate composition: Donnarumma – Cayode, Scalvini, Bastoni, Calafiori – Barella, Tonali, Doumbia – S. Esposito, F. Esposito, Cambiagi.
Tip and bets
There are enough famous football players in the Belgian national team. The Red Devilsreached the quarterfinals at the last World Championship and lost only to world champions Spain. The quality of football among Van Bommel's players is not bad, and they have character, as they proved in the last round against Turkey. If the home team can impose a high tempo on the opponent from the first minutes, then the advantage will be on their side and there will be great chances to take one of the two first places in the quartet. We believe that the Red Devils will take advantage of their home field and the support of the fans in Brussels to defeat the Italians, just as they did in the first round of the League of Nations.
Prediction– Belgium wins with a coefficient of 2.17
Bet on the total
We believe that there will be few goals in a match of equal opponents. The cost of a mistake is very high, but the national teams will not play indoor football. The Belgians finished three games in a row at the tournament with a total of more, and in three out of five matches, the Italian national team had at least three goals. We believe that the scoring extravaganza will take place and we advise you to pay attention to the high-total bet.
The betting tip is a total of more than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.65
Betting on corners
The Belgian national team lost three matches at the tournament on corner kicks and allowed the opponents to create scoring chances in their penalty area. There is a high probability that a similar game scenario is planned today, and the Italians will surely win in the corners.
Prediction — Italy wins on corners with a coefficient of 2.80
Betting predictions stat
Explore all statisticsMatch statistical model
How does it work?Trends
The bet is an accurate score of 2:1
In 1 of the last 3 meetings, the hosts won with this score
Betting 1st half: Belgium's victory
In 4 of the last 5 matches, the Red Devils won in the first half.
Bet 2nd half: Italy won't score
In 3 of the last 5 games in the League of Nations, the Belgians did not concede in the second half.
Live trends
| Outcome | Probability | Model odds |
|---|---|---|
| 88,15% | 1.13 | |
| Draw | 8,69% | 11.51 |
| 3,16% | 31.65 |
Probability history
4'–34'| Outcome | Probability | Model odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1X | 96,84% | 1.03 |
| 12 | 91,31% | 1.10 |
| X2 | 11,85% | 8.44 |
| Outcome | Probability | Model odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 90,88% | 1.10 |
| Under | 9,12% | 10.97 |
| Outcome | Probability | Model odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 68,55% | 1.46 |
| Under | 31,45% | 3.18 |
| Outcome | Probability | Model odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 38,81% | 2.58 |
| Under | 61,19% | 1.63 |
| Outcome | Probability | Model odds |
|---|---|---|
| Belgium | 57,51% | 1.74 |
| Italy | 33,37% | 3.00 |
| No goal | 9,12% | 10.97 |
| Outcome | Probability | Model odds |
|---|---|---|
| Belgium -0.5 | 88,15% | 1.13 |
| Italy +0.5 | 11,85% | 8.44 |
| Belgium +0.5 | 96,84% | 1.03 |
| Italy -0.5 | 3,16% | 31.65 |
| Outcome | Probability | Model odds |
|---|---|---|
| Belgium -1.5 | 74,39% | 1.34 |
| Italy +1.5 | 25,61% | 3.90 |
| Outcome | Probability | Model odds |
|---|---|---|
| Belgium -2.5 | 48,57% | 2.06 |
| Italy +2.5 | 51,43% | 1.94 |
Live commentary
Match report
Pressure during the match
according to SportWireBars above the line show home pressure; bars below show away pressure. Height is relative to the most intense moment of the match.
Match statistics


Lineups and formation


Head coaches


Team lineups


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Standings
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Top scorers
Season: 26/27












