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Neftekhimik returns home after a crushing defeat in Magnitogorsk, while Lokomotiv unexpectedly faced serious difficulties in attacking. Both teams have reason to change the usual nature of the game, so our betting tip assumes a fairly cautious confrontation, and the bet is associated with a small number of abandoned goals
Command Analysis
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
The 1-8 defeat by Metallurg was the most painful event in recent weeks for the Petrochemical company. Nizhnekamsk withstood the first period with minimal lag, but in the second twenty minutes they conceded five goals. Dmitry Tochilkin scored the only goal of the guests. For Igor Grishin's team, this result is especially unpleasant after two successful away matches.
Before the trip to Magnitogorsk, Neftekhimik beat Sochi (2:1) and Siberia (3:1), and earlier on his own ice he lost to Admiral (3:4) and Metallurg (2:3 OT). Nizhnekamsk residents are able to achieve results through a disciplined game, but they often experience difficulties against a strong attack. Andrey Belozerov remains one of the leaders, whose puck won the previous meeting with Lokomotiv in Yaroslavl.
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
For Lokomotiv, the Tolyatti Lada has become the most inconvenient opponent of the last week. Dmitry Kvartalnov's team lost twice to the outsider of the Western Conference with the same score 0:1, and the last time - only by shootout. Between these meetings, Yaroslavl confidently dealt with Spartak (4:1), scoring two goals already in the first period. Despite some setbacks, the team continues to be among the leaders of the conference.
The main advantage of the guests remains reliable defense. Over the past five matches, Lokomotiv has conceded only four goals in game time, and Daniil Isaev and Alexey Melnichuk are helping to maintain a high level of reliability at the last turn. Egor Surin and Rushan Rafikov play a significant role among the field players, but even with their activity, Yaroslavl players do not always turn the game advantage into abandoned goals.
Defeat in Magnitogorsk may push the Petrochemical Industry to a much more cautious game. It is especially dangerous to repeat defensive mistakes against Lokomotiv, as Yaroslavl players are able to play the puck patiently and use free space. In the October confrontation, Nizhnekamsk managed to win 1-0, and the current meeting also has prerequisites for a stubborn struggle for each episode. It is important for the hosts not so much to accelerate attacks as to minimize losses in the middle zone.
At the same time, the attack of the guests is going through a difficult period. Two defeats against Lada without scoring goals show that even a game advantage does not guarantee high performance for Lokomotiv. Yaroslavtsev's defense continues to look reliable and is capable of limiting the capabilities of Belozerov and his partners. We expect that the opponents will act cautiously from the first minutes, and the further course of the meeting will largely be determined by the first goal. In such a situation, betting on a small total looks preferable to choosing a winner.
Our betting tip is a total of less than 5.5 goals in 1.60
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