On November 7, Krasnodar will play CSKA in the central match of the 14th round of the Premier League. Murad Musayev's team has not won a single victory in the last seven rounds, but nevertheless they are playing the role of the favorite in the bookmaker's line today. The Army team has allowed themselves only one defeat since the beginning of the season and is in the top 3 in the RPL. We figure out the betting tip, who has the best chance of scoring three points today and which reliable bets to place
Command Analysis
FC Krasnodar
Current form
Since the start of the season, Krasnodar has been second to none, confidently leading the standings. However, it was not possible to keep such a high level. The last victory in the RPL dates back to August 29, when they managed to beat Rostov (1-0) on their own field. Murad Musayev's team has never won in seven rounds. It is not surprising that with such a series in the passive, the bulls occupy only the fifth place after 13 rounds and are already seven points behind the leading Zenit.
In the last round, Krasnodar was away at Home with a score of 1:2. All the goals in that meeting were scored after the break, with Murad Musayev's players scoring first. Once again, the defensive line was weak, plus Augusto scored an own goal at the very end.
It was largely due to a pragmatic game with an emphasis strictly on results and reliable defense that Krasnodar achieved success at the start of the season. This is not the case now: in the last four matches alone, the Bulls have conceded nine goals. The home field factor doesn't help either: we haven't been able to win in the last three meetings.
Disqualifications and injuries
In the infirmary near Krasnodar, Krivtsov. Chernikov and Olas have too many yellow cards. Khmarin's entry into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
Krasnodar has not won a single victory in the last seven rounds of the RPL
Krasnodar has not lost by offside in 12 of the 13 previous matches.
The exchange of goals scored was recorded in four previous matches of Krasnodar
Approximate line–up: Agkatsev - Fingers, Tormena, Zhubal, Vakhania – Lenini, Douglas Augusto – Christian, Vorobyev, Batchi – Cordoba.
CSKA Moscow
Current form
CSKA is approaching the upcoming away match in third place in the table. They manage to stay ahead of Spartak in additional indicators, lagging behind Zenit and Dynamo Moscow by four and two points, respectively. The Army team's only defeat since the beginning of the season was in the derby against Dynamo (1:3).
A characteristic feature of Dmitry Igdisamov's team is stability. CSKA avoids protracted slumps. There are occasional point losses in matches against not the strongest opponents, but nothing more. So, in the last round, Muscovites could not beat Orenburg on the road (0:0). The opponent resisted, imposed a viscous struggle on the verge of a foul, did not allow them to disperse the attacks, plus, it was not easy to play on artificial turf.
In general, it is worth noting that CSKA's difficulties most often arise in away matches: only two wins in five meetings. At the same time, the defeat was only from Dynamo Moscow. Ahead is a trip to Krasnodar, where Muscovites scored points for the last time in the framework of the RPL back in 2023. It's time to break the bad streak, considering that the opponent has been on the decline for a long time.
Disqualifications and injuries
Akinfeev, Gayich, Moises and Barinov will not play due to injuries.
Interesting betting trends
In three of the last five matches involving CSKA, there was no goal exchange.
CSKA lost by offsides in 11 of the last 13 matches.
In six of the nine previous matches, the Army team recorded more than nine shots on target.
Krasnodar cannot win in seven rounds in a row. The day before, a defeat from the Motherland was recorded. It is definitely impossible to call a prolonged series of failures an accident. There is no reliability in defense, and this is why Murad Musayev's team won at the start. Offensively, not everything works out to compensate for defensive failures with a margin. At the very least, there are questions about the fact that the owners are the favorites in the bookmaker line.
CSKA allows themselves unnecessary point losses in individual matches, but most often this happens against opponents who defend themselves reliably and in an organized manner. The current Krasnodar is definitely not one of them. The Army team avoids protracted slumps, is one of the most stable teams in the RPL at a distance, with only one defeat in the passive. We believe that, taking into account the coefficients set, it is worth betting on the guests.
Our betting tip is for CSKA to win with an Asian handicap (0) for a coefficient of 2.46
Krasnodar's defense regularly malfunctions, in the previous four rounds it was impossible to win back to zero, while they themselves regularly scored goals. CSKA is experiencing problems offensively against reliable defensive opponents who do not allow for quick attacks, as was the case with Orenburg the day before, but in general, the Army team managed to score 21 goals in 13 rounds and is unlikely to be able to open the Krasnodar defense at least once today. In four of the five previous head-to-head matches, there was an exchange of goals, which we are waiting for today.
The second bet is that both will score with a coefficient of 1.62
Betting on corners
When choosing a corner bet, we start from the trend of the hosts. In 10 of the 13 previous matches involving Krasnodar, there were no more than nine corners. We do not expect this steady trend to fail today.
The betting tip is that the total number of corners is less than 9.5 with a coefficient of 1.70
Liontips
Stanislav Agkatsev