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In the fourth round of the Champions League, the game in Madrid between Atletico and Bayern is of great interest. The mattresses have scored an impressive run and are not losing, taking into account all the tournaments in nine consecutive matches, and they have never lost at home. The opponent is not stable, Vance Kompany still does not manage the game of his players due to illness, and there are significant losses in the squad. Will Madrid be able to take advantage of Munich's problems today? We recommend that you read the betting tip for the game from the site's expert and choose your exact bets
Command Analysis
Atletico Madrid
Current form
Atletico can clearly take advantage of the interim results of performances in the season. In fact, there was only a slight decline in early September, when there were two defeats in a row from Athletic Bilbao (0:3) and from Liverpool (1:2). The mattresses didn't lose to anyone else. Characteristically, both failures occurred at field meetings. At the Metropolitano, Diego Simeone's team has a habitually solid record: five wins in six matches played, the loss of points was only with Villarreal (2:2).
At the moment, in the Example, Atletico is on an impressive winning streak of six matches. Special attention should be paid to the home victory in the Madrid derby over Real Madrid (2:1). That match clearly showed that the mattress pads at home are capable of fighting on equal terms with any rivals. In the last round in La Liga, they managed to easily beat Levante 2-0 on the road. Diego Simeone's team is in second place in the table, one point ahead of Real Madrid and two points behind Barcelona.
Things are not going so well in the Champions League yet. In three rounds, Atletico scored four points and occupies a modest 16th place. On their own field, Madrid confidently beat Manchester United in crisis (2:0), and on the road they lost to Liverpool (1:2) and parted in peace with Stuttgart (1:1).
Of the tangible personnel losses, we note the disqualified Hulmand. A football player is an important link in the approach to his penalty area, performs a lot of work, and it is not so easy to replace him.
Disqualifications and injuries
Hulmand will serve his suspension. The appearance of Koke and Cardoso on the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
Since the beginning of the season, taking into account all the tournaments, Atletico has not suffered a single defeat.
In four of the last five matches, Atletico have lost on corners.
In three of the last four home matches involving the Mattress pads, there was no goal exchange.
Since the beginning of the season, Bayern has not looked like a truly formidable force to smash all the rivals in its path. In the Champions League, Munich lost points twice, with Viking (3:3) and Arsenal (2:2). In the Bundesliga, we have drawn three times in eight rounds. The biggest problems arise in away matches.: three draws in the last five games.
On the eve of the trip to Madrid, Bayern had a difficult home match against Borussia Dortmund (2-2). The Reds led twice, Kane hadn't even converted a penalty yet, plus they hit the goal frame three times during the match. However, the result was only a draw, it was not possible to win and pull away from a direct competitor in the table. After eight rounds, Bayern is on the first line, but only in terms of additional indicators ahead of the bumblebees.
In the Champions League, Bayern have a modest four points after three rounds and an intermediate 14th place in the table. They scored the only victory in the opening round on their own field over Buda-Glimt (5:0).
Undoubtedly, the recent results are affected by the fact that due to illness, Vincent Kompany does not direct the game of his players at the edge of the field. Assistant coach Aaron Danks is currently serving as the head coach. Plus, there are significant losses in the composition. In the match against Borussia, Saibari and Gnabri were injured, and Olise was injured at the end of that game.
Disqualifications and injuries
They will not play today due to injuries to Diaz, Musial, Saibari and Gnabry. Neuer and Olise's entry into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
Bayern have drawn in three of their last five away matches.
Bayern have 41 wins in the last 50 matches on shots on goal.
Bayern haven't lost by offside in 1 of the 19 previous matches.
Approximate line–up: Urbig – Limer, Upamecano, Kim, Brown – Kimmich, Pavlovich - Karl, Bischoff, Davis – Kane.
The representative of the Bundesliga has a slight advantage in the line of bookmakers. However, it's clearly not going to be easy for Bayern to score three points today. The Munich team has been hesitant on the road throughout the season, missing a lot, and they haven't won three of the last five matches. The day before, there was a difficult match against Borussia, where they failed to win, but Saibari and Gnabri were injured, and Olise was injured, perhaps he will not play in Madrid. Plus, Vincent Kompany is still not in charge of his charges due to illness.
Atletico does not have such significant losses in the squad, with the exception of the disqualified Hulmand. The day before, the mattress pads in the classroom dealt with Levante, they obviously did not leave as much strength and emotions as the Bayern players in the game against Borussia Dortmund. Undoubtedly, Madrid have the home field factor on their side, where they have not lost since the beginning of the season, winning five of the six matches played. We believe that Diego Simeone's players have a better chance of winning at the moment.
Our prediction is that Atletico will win with an Asian handicap (0) for a coefficient of 2.00
Bayern, despite all their problems, clearly will not deviate from their usual tactics with an obvious emphasis on attack. Atletico is now able to support such football, especially since Munich is not known for its reliable defensive play, having conceded six goals on the road in only three previous matches. We expect that the upcoming game will be productive.
The second bet is a total of more than 3.5 goals with a coefficient of 2.10
A bet on yellow cards
When choosing a bet on yellow cards, we start from the trend among the guests. According to this indicator, Bayern lost in three of the four previous matches. Most likely, the Atletico players will have to defend a lot and, consequently, break the rules.
Prediction – Atletico victory on yellow cards with a coefficient of 2.15
Liontips
Jan Oblak