Abubakar Vagaev - Jacob Malkun: betting tip (cf 1.50) and bets on the fight

Command Analysis

Current form
Abubakar Vagaev began his UFC career with a victory over Saigid Izagakhmaev. Their meeting took place in July at a tournament in Abu Dhabi and ended with a unanimous decision of the judges. The duel turned out to be peculiar: two representatives of the Caucasian school of martial arts were fighting in a cage, and in Vagaev's corner was his countryman Khamzat Chimaev.
However, there was no sensation. Vagaev, a former ACA champion, bet on wrestling, put his opponent on the floor and tried to limit his opportunities as much as possible. The spectacle was not the most exciting, but tactically the Russian fighter achieved his goal. It can be assumed that he will try to act in a similar manner against Malkun. The 33-year-old Vagaev has 29 professional fights under his belt. He spent most of his career in the ACA and related promotions. In his last fight before joining the UFC, the Russian defeated Albert Tumenov by unanimous decision.
Vagaev has 26 wins, of which five were won by knockout, one by submission, and 20 more by decision of the judges. At the same time, he has four defeats on his record. The Russian also achieved success in kickboxing, UKADO, grappling and Thai boxing competitions. He is a master of sports in kickboxing, a former ACB champion and current ACA welterweight champion.

Current form
Jacob Malkun is approaching a meeting with Vagaev after a series of successful performances. In 2026, the Australian defeated Gerald Merschert and Torres Finney by unanimous decisions. Even earlier, in 2024, he defeated Andre Petroski by technical knockout. However, Malkun had a long break between these performances, so the stability of his form remains a separate issue. In the UFC, the Australian scored six wins and suffered three defeats. His path to martial arts began at the age of 16: his father brought the teenager to the boxing gym so that he could get in shape. At that time, Malkun weighed about 115 kg and played rugby league at the pole position. Subsequently, he began training with Robert Whittaker, the former UFC middleweight champion.
Malkun has achieved notable successes in wrestling as well. He won the Asian qualifying tournament of the ADCC in 2019 and the gold medal of the Pan Pacific Championship of the same year. In addition, the Australian has won all three professional boxing matches. He made his debut on the regional stage in 2017 and won four consecutive victories. In particular, Malkun defeated Cam Rawston by unanimous decision, while Ryan Heketa and Christophe van Dijk were defeated by technical knockouts. Then he beat Sebastian Temesi on points.
However, his UFC debut was unsuccessful. In October 2020, at UFC 254, Malkun faced Phil Howes and lost by knockout in the 18th second of the first round. The 31-year-old Australian currently has ten wins, three by knockout and seven by decision, with three losses.
Tip and bets
Vagaev surpasses Malkun in size and has serious experience in wrestling. The Aussie himself often tries to put opponents on the floor, but his defense against takedowns is only 55%. Against a fighter who knows how to impose a fight and control the course of a duel, such an indicator can become a problem. The main question is whether Malkun will be able to avoid long stretches in the stalls. If Vagaev regularly finds himself on top, the Australian will have difficulty implementing his own plan. It is not necessary for a Russian to seek an early victory: control, positional advantage and work throughout all rounds may well lead him to success.
Our betting tip is Vagaev's victory in 1.50
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Bet The duel won't be complete
The two fighters have 12 early victories.






