Sergey Spivak - Vitor Petrino: betting tip (cf 1.68) and bets on the fight

Current form

Sergey Spivak has not been able to put together a really long winning streak in the last few years. Since 2022, the Moldovan heavyweight has fought six matches and achieved three victories, losing to his rivals the same number of times. In February, he managed to break an unsuccessful streak by defeating Ante Delia by decision of the judges. At the same time, Spivak's strengths are well known. If the fight moves to the stalls, Sergey turns into an extremely unpleasant opponent. He is able to quickly take advantage of the opponent's mistake and end the match with a trick. That's how the Moldovan fighter dealt with Marcin Tybura, forcing him to surrender with an elbow lever in the first round. Another significant episode was the victory over Derrick Lewis — Spivak caught the American in a triangle and also finished the meeting ahead of schedule in the opening round.

But he also has problems, and quite serious ones. Spivak has already lost to Cyril Gein and Jailton Almeida by knockout, while Waldo Cortez-Acosta lost on points. And whenever a Moldovan heavyweight fails to impose his own scenario, the situation becomes noticeably more difficult for him. If we talk about wrestling, here Spivak's advantage looks quite obvious. But Sergey does not have such a noticeable advantage in size and strength to be guaranteed to dominate the clinch. Therefore, skill alone in the stalls may not be enough for him.

The 31-year-old fighter from Moldova has 18 wins: seven by knockouts, three by judges' decisions and eight by submission. He also has six defeats in his professional record. Spivak is currently ranked sixth in the UFC heavyweight division. In the past, Sergey held the World Warriors Fighting Championships title and managed to prove himself in Eagles Fighting Championship, N1 Pro and Real Fight Promotion. The Moldovan athlete has been competing in the UFC since 2019. The nickname Polar Bear suits him not only in appearance: Spivak holds a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu and is used to looking for opportunities to end the fight prematurely on the ground.

Current form

Vitor Petrino, for his part, has yet to lose after moving up to heavyweight. In three matches, the Brazilian scored three victories, and each time he demonstrated different facets of his arsenal. First, Petrino defeated Austin Lane with a backhand choke in the first round. Then a completely different scenario followed — Vitor knocked out Thomas Petersen in the third round. In March, the Brazilian had a difficult and emotional duel with Steven Asplund, which ended with Petrino's victory by decision of the judges.

Interestingly, Vitor went to heavyweight after two consecutive defeats by knockout. He was stopped by Dustin Jacobi and Anthony Smith, and after that the team decided to change the direction of his career. It looks like the solution was successful. In the heavier category, Petrino looks more confident, and his physique allows him to unleash his main weapon — stand-up work.

The Brazilian may actually have a noticeable advantage in the exchange of blows. Petrino is fast enough for a heavyweight, feels the distance well and is able to jump into the attack. At the same time, the transition to the heavy category, judging by recent performances, had a positive effect on his strength. Spivak will have to take into account his own endurance problems. The Moldovan fighter averages 4.23 significant hits per minute, while he lands 3.57. For a confrontation with Petrino, this is an alarming indicator: allowing the Brazilian to regularly hit himself is a strategy that can end badly very quickly.

28-year-old Petrino has 17 wins: 11 by knockouts, four by judges' decisions and two by submission. There are only two defeats in his record. Before fully transitioning into mixed martial arts, the Brazilian practiced wushu and Chinese boxing.