LiontipsPSG vs Aston Villa: betting tip (cf 2.23) and bets on the UEFA Super Cup match
Command Analysis
Current form
PSG won gold medals in Ligue 1 last season, as usual, and withstood competition from Lance at a distance. In the Champions League, Parisians won the title for the second year in a row, beating Arsenal in the decisive match in a penalty shootout. In the new season, the French grandee traditionally relies on achieving maximum results in all tournaments where he participates.
There are many questions about the readiness for the match in Salzburg for the Super Cup. The last World Cup, which featured many PSG players, influenced the overall preparatory process for the start of the new season. The Parisians officially started the training process only on July 27, and without many of the main squad players who were on vacation. As a result, in the very first friendly match, Luis Enrique's team could not do anything against the modest Mallorca (0:3). At the same time, by the second sparring match with Manchester United (1-1), there was progress in the game, and some of the main squad players reached out. At the same time, the players of the French national team, as well as Hakimi and Ruiz, arrived at the club's disposal only on August 10.
The Super Cup match takes place on a neutral field in Salzburg. However, PSG has had a lot of experience in such title battles in recent years. So, for the previous 10 trophy matches, taking into account all tournaments, the Parisians won nine times, including the Champions League twice and the UEFA Super Cup once.
Disqualifications and injuries
PSG has no losses in the squad.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of PSG's last four matches, there has been an exchange of goals scored.
- More than two goals were not scored in three of the five previous matches of the Parisians
- In 42 of the last 49 matches, PSG have not lost on corners.
Approximate line–up: Safonov - Zabarny, Marquinhos, Pacho, Mendes – Neves, Vitinha, Drombaye, Mayulu, Kvaratskhelia.
Current form
Aston Villa can clearly take advantage of the results of last season. Birmingham finished in fourth place in the Premier League, and also managed to win the Europa League title, beating Freiburg in the final (3:0). Thus, the lions will now represent England in the Champions League.
In the summer, unlike the upcoming opponent, Aston Villa played much more sparring sessions, but not all the matches involved the players of the main squad who were on vacation after the World Cup. According to the results in friendly matches, the lions did not have stable results: three wins and three losses. Unai Emery's men did not pass the real test of strength in the last sparring match during the Asian tour – they were defeated by Bayern Munich (1:2). Manda's long-standing problem was affected in that meeting: the inability to play under heavy pressure when the opponent is completely in control of the ball. Such a scenario is most likely expected today.
In the summer, Aston Villa was active in the transfer market. Rogers, Thielemans and Digne left the club. Instead, they signed Garnacho, Manzambi and Joao Gomez. At the same time, Monsambi will not play in Salzburg today, as he has a knee injury.
According to the experience of title matches, Aston Villa is noticeably inferior to PSG. So, over the past 10 years, Birmingham have played in such matches only three times, won only once against Freiburg last season in the Europa League final. Moreover, even Emery, with his frequent triumphs in the league, has not won a single Super Cup trophy in his entire coaching career.
Disqualifications and injuries
Bailey, Manzambi and Onana are injured.
Interesting betting trends
- In five consecutive matches involving Aston Villa, there has been an exchange of goals scored.
- The bet on a total of more than 2.5 goals was played in 12 consecutive matches with the participation of the lions
- In 25 of the 31 previous matches, Aston Villa lost by offside
Approximate composition: Bizot – Cash, Lindelof, Torres, Maatsen–Gomes, Camara–McGinn, Buendfa, Garnacho – Abraham.
Trends
Bet 1st half: total more than 1.5 goals
In two head-to-head matches, more than one goal was scored in the opening 45 minutes.
Aston Villa'sbetwon't Lose on Yellow cards
The bet played in three of Aston Villa's four previous matches
The bet is an accurate score of 2:1
The Lions have suffered three of their last four defeats with this score
Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In two face-to-face meetings, goals were scored in each of the halves.
Tip and bets
In the line of bookmakers, PSG acts as the favorite. Moreover, even though the preparations for the Super Bowl turned out to be crumpled, there was very little time, only two sparring sessions were held. It is worth agreeing with this alignment of forces. Parisians have a huge experience of successful trophy battles: in nine out of ten previous title matches, taking into account all tournaments, they prevailed. Plus, even in the two test matches, there was noticeable progress in the game, the draw with Manchester United fully demonstrated this.
Aston Villa, unlike their rivals, does not have such a large successful experience of title battles. In the friendly matches in preparation for the new season, Birmingham did not differ in stability, they did not pass the main test of strength – they lost to Bayern. It won't be easier with PSG, as Luis Enrique's players also rely on total ball control, and in such situations the lions often make mistakes at their own goal, they had this problem last season. We believe that Parisians will achieve victory in regular time today.
Our betting tip is for PSG to win by a factor of 1.72
Bet on the total
In Salzburg, the rivals will play their first official match of the new season. It's definitely not worth waiting for a reliable defensive game right away, especially since there have been changes in the lineups, and because of the World Cup, many players were unable to complete full-fledged training at their clubs. Under such circumstances, it is logical to take a closer look at the bet on the exchange of goals scored. This option has played in three of PSG's last four matches and in five consecutive games against Aston Villa.
The second bet is that both will score with a coefficient of 1.76
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
PSG had very little time to prepare for the Super Cup, and many of the leaders had not yet played in friendly matches at all. We do not think that Luis Enrique's players will be able to defeat Aston Villa against this background.
The betting tip is a PSG victory with an advantage of one or two goals with a coefficient of 2.23
